Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Prediction 2/10/25 NBA Picks

Miami Heat (25-25) vs Boston Celtics (37-16)

Game Info: Monday, February 10, 2025 at 7:30 pm (Kaseya Center)

Betting Odds: Miami Heat +5.5 -- Over/Under: 220.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: NBA League Pass

The Boston Celtics travel to the Kaseya Center to take on the Miami Heat on Monday night. Here’s a Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Prediction. This article will include a Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Pick.

Boston Celtics Betting Preview

The Boston Celtics have been in fine form as they've won five of their last six games overall and they will be eager to stay hot after routing the Knicks in a 131-104 road win on Saturday. Jayson Tatum connected on seven 3-pointers to lead the team with 40 points, six rebounds, and four assists, Payton Pritchard added 25 points off the bench, Luke Kornet scored 14 points with 12 rebounds and three blocks while Derrick White chipped in with 17 points. As a team, the Celtics shot 54 percent from the field and 19 of 39 from the 3-point line, as they jumped all over the Knicks from the start and outscored the Knicks in every quarter to cruise to a dominant road, win behind a balanced scoring effort. The Celtics will play against the Spurs following this one.

Miami Heat Betting Preview

Meanwhile, the Miami Heat have been in decent form as they've won four of their last seven games overall, but they will be hoping for a better effort after getting smashed by the Nets in a 102-86 road defeat on Friday. Terry Rozier led the team with 20 points off the bench, Bam Adebayo added 18 points with eight rebounds and two blocks while Tyler Herro chipped in with 15 points and six assists. As a team, the Heat shot just 35 percent from the field and 12 of 40 from the 3-point line as they worked hard to take an 11-point lead in the third quarter, only to go cold and score just nine points in the fourth quarter to allow the Nets off the hook in the end. 

Why the Miami Heat will win

  • The Celtics have lost three of their last four games as favorites when playing with a rest disadvantage.
  • The underdogs have won four of the Heat's last six games.
  • The Celtics have failed to cover the spread in each of their last 10 games as favorites following a win.
  • The underdogs have covered the spread in five of the Heat's last six games.

Why the Boston Celtics will win

  • The Celtics have won each of their last six games at Kaseya Center.
  • The Heat have lost eight of their last nine games against Celtics teams that held a winning record.
  • The Heat have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five home games against Atlantic Division opponents after losing as favorites.
  • The favorites have covered the spread in each of the last four games between the Celtics and Heat.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Heat rank 2nd in the league for opponent free throw attempts per game this season (18.3).
  • The Heat are one of only two teams to lose a game when leading by 20+ points at HT this season.
  • The Celtics rank 1st in the league for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (48.1).
  • The Celtics have made the playoffs in 10 consecutive seasons - the longest active streak in the NBA

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Prediction

The Celtics have ruled out Jrue Holiday once again and they have Jayson Tatum listed as questionable, while the Heat are keeping an eye on Jaime Jacquez Jr who is questionable with an illness. The Celtics are coming into this one with an injury cloud hanging over Tatum, but they still have more than enough depth to take down this Heat squad who are coming into this one fresh off a bad loss to the lowly Nets. The line is short enough for this one, so I will go with the shorthanded Celtics to take care of business against this struggling Heat team.
 

Peter’s Pick Boston -5.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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