Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction 2/24/25 NBA Picks

Oklahoma City Thunder (46-10) vs Minnesota Timberwolves (31-27)

Game Info: Monday, February 24, 2025 at 8:00 pm (Paycom Center)

Betting Odds: Oklahoma City Thunder -12.5 -- Over/Under: 226.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: NBA TV

The Minnesota Timberwolves and Oklahoma City Thunder meet Monday in NBA action at the Paycom Center. Here’s a Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction. This article will include a Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder Pick.

Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Preview 

The Minnesota Timberwolves lost to the Rockets and Thunder, and they play the Lakers, Jazz, and Suns next. The Timberwolves have lost four of their last five games and would be in the play-in tournament if the season ended today.

The Minnesota Timberwolves are averaging 111.8 points on 46 percent shooting and allowing 108.7 points on 45.8 percent shooting. Anthony Edwards is averaging 27.6 points and 5.8 rebounds, while Julius Randle is averaging 18.9 points and 4.5 assists. Naz Reid is the third double-digit scorer and Jaden McDaniels is grabbing 5.6 rebounds. The Minnesota Timberwolves are shooting 37.6 percent from beyond the arc and 79.6 percent from the free-throw line. The Minnesota Timberwolves are allowing 35.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.2 rebounds per game.

Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview 

The Oklahoma City Thunder beat the Jazz and Timberwolves, and they play the Nets, Hawks, and Spurs next. The Thunder have 46 wins on the season and have lost one home game since November 18.

The Oklahoma City Thunder are averaging 118.3 points on 47.6 percent shooting and allowing 105.3 points on 43.1 percent shooting. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 32.2 points and 6.1 assists, while Jalen Williams is averaging 20.9 points and 5.5 rebounds. Chet Holmgren is the third double-digit scorer and Isaiah Hartenstein is grabbing 12 rebounds. The Oklahoma City Thunder are shooting 36.3 percent from beyond the arc and 82.3 percent from the free throw line. The Oklahoma City Thunder are allowing 33.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.5 rebounds per game.

Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win

  • The Thunder have won 17 of their last 18 night games at Paycom Center.
  • The Timberwolves have lost eight of their last nine games on the second leg of a back-to-back against the Thunder.
  • The Thunder have covered the spread in nine of their last 10 home games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Timberwolves have failed to cover the spread in 15 of their last 18 night games following a home loss.

Why the Minnesota Timberwolves will win

  • The Timberwolves have won six of their last seven games as road underdogs against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
  • The Thunder have lost three of their last four games as favorites on the second leg of a back-to-back.
  • The Timberwolves have covered the spread in nine of their last 10 games as underdogs against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
  • The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games on the second leg of a back-to-back against the Timberwolves.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Thunder rank 1st in the league for opponent steals per game this season (6.6).
  • The Thunder rank 1st in the league for opponent turnovers per game this season (18.0).
  • The Timberwolves rank 3rd in the league for Q4 win percentage this season (58.6%).
  • The Timberwolves rank 4th in the league for three-point percentage this season (37.6%).

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder Injury Report

The Thunder will be without Nikola Topic and Ajay Mitchell.

The Timberwolves won’t have Donte DiVincenzo and Julius Randle. Rudy Gobert is questionable after not playing last night. 

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction

Even without covering last night, the Oklahoma City Thunder are 35-18-4 ATS on the year which is the best covering record in the NBA. I'm not mad at you if you continue to blindly back OKC. However, it’s not easy to beat the same team twice in as many days, and even with injuries the Timberwolves are still a tough out. The Timberwolves had their chances to win last night, which included a five-point lead with eight minutes left. The Thunder just got ridiculously hot from three in a short span. We were on the Timberwolves last night and I’m going to double-dip with an even larger number. The Timberwolves are 6-0 ATS in their last six games as a double-digit underdog. Give me the points.

Randy’s Pick Minnesota Timberwolves +12.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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