Miami Heat vs Portland Trail Blazers Prediction 1/11/25 NBA Picks

Portland Trail Blazers (13-24) vs Miami Heat (19-17)

Game Info: Saturday, January 11, 2025 at 10:00 pm (Moda Center)

Betting Odds: Portland Trail Blazers +3.5 -- Over/Under: 216.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: NBA League Pass

The Miami Heat and Portland Trail Blazers meet Saturday in NBA action at the Moda Center. Here’s a Miami Heat vs Portland Trail Blazers Prediction. This article will include a Miami Heat vs Portland Trail Blazers Pick.

Miami Heat Betting Preview

The Miami Heat beat the Warriors and Jazz, and they play the Clippers, Lakers, and Nuggets next. The Miami Heat are averaging 111.3 points on 45.6 percent shooting and allowing 110.1 points on 46.1 percent shooting. Tyler Herro is averaging 23.6 points and 5.6 rebounds, while Jimmy Butler is averaging 17.6 points and 5.5 rebounds. Bam Adebayo is the third double-digit scorer and Terry Rozier is grabbing 4.1 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 37 percent from beyond the arc and 78.2 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 35.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.3 rebounds per game.

Portland Trail Blazers Betting Preview

The Portland Trail Blazers lost to the Mavs, beat the Pelicans, and they play the Nets, Clippers, and Rockets next. The Portland Trail Blazers are averaging 108.1 points on 44.9 percent shooting and allowing 116.9 points on 47.9 percent shooting. Anfernee Simons is averaging 18.6 points and 2.7 rebounds, while Shaedon Sharpe is averaging 17.9 points and 3.7 rebounds. Jerami Grant is the third double-digit scorer and Deandre Ayton is grabbing 10.2 rebounds. The Portland Trail Blazers are shooting 33.6 percent from beyond the arc and 77 percent from the free-throw line. The Portland Trail Blazers are allowing 37.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.2 rebounds per game.

Why the Portland Trail Blazers will win

  • The Heat have lost three of their last four games as road favorites.
  • The Trail Blazers have won three of their last four games as home underdogs following a loss.
  • The Heat have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six road games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Trail Blazers have covered the spread in each of their last four games as home underdogs following a loss.

Why the Miami Heat will win

  • The Trail Blazers have lost each of their last five night games against Heat teams that held a winning record.
  • The Heat have won each of their last four night games at Moda Center.
  • The Trail Blazers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five night games against Heat teams that held a winning record.
  • The road team has covered the spread in each of the Trail Blazers' last four games.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the Trail Blazers' last seven home games against Southeast Division opponents has gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Each of the Heat's last four games against the Trail Blazers following a road win have gone UNDER the total points line.

Portland Trail Blazers Player Facts

  • Scoot Henderson ranks 36th amongst qualified players for assists per game (5.0) this season.
  • Deni Avdija ranks 23rd amongst qualified Forwards for assists per game (3.2) this season.

Miami Heat Player Facts

  • Bam Adebayo ranks 5th in the Eastern Conference amongst qualified players for steals per game (1.6) this season.
  • Duncan Robinson ranks 15th amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per 36 minutes (3.9) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Trail Blazers rank 29th in the league for opponent blocks per game this season (6.1).
  • The Trail Blazers rank 28th in the league for assists per game this season (23.2).
  • The Heat rank 2nd in the league for opponent free throw attempts per game this season (18.2).
  • The Heat rank 3rd in the league for opponent free throws made per game this season (14.6).

Miami Heat vs Portland Trail Blazers Prediction

The Miami Heat are showing signs of righting the ship with wins over the Warriors and Jazz, but I still don't trust them night to night. With that said, I'm not sure how anybody can find confidence in the Trail Blazers, who just blew a 10-point lead in less than five minutes against the banged-up Mavs. While it's one game, it does give you serious tanking vibes and makes me want to stay far away from the Trail Blazers. When the Heat and Trail Blazers met last March, Miami won by 60 points. If the Heat are serious about competing for a top-four seed in the East, which they're only one game away from, these are contests they can't lose. You can argue the line should be steeper. Give me the Heat and the reasonable chalk. 

Randy’s Pick Miami Heat -3.5

Get Premium Picks Start Winning Now »
The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

18+ Has gambling become a problem for you? Call the National Problem Gambling Hotline.
1-800-522-4700 | ncpgambling.org

Credit Guaranteed Packages

Packages with Credit Guarantees automatically give you a credit if the package does not turn a profit—the sum of betting all individual picks. THESE ARE NOT PARLAYS UNLESS OTHERWISE CLEARLY STATED. If a credit guaranteed package does not profit, a credit for its full purchase price is automatically issued after picks are graded and verified.

For example, if you purchase a $39.95 package that doesn’t profit, you’ll get a $39.95 credit towards any future purchase(s) on our site. Credits are usually issued within hours of a game’s conclusion, so please allow a few hours for final verification.

To use your credits, log in to your account and add another package or pass to your cart. Credits will automatically reduce what you owe. Any remaining balance will be settled through our payment system, with any leftover credits available future purchases. Credits do not expire.

Dismiss