Atlanta Hawks vs Denver Nuggets Prediction NBA Picks 1/1/25

Denver Nuggets (18-13) vs Atlanta Hawks (18-15)

Game Info: Wednesday, January 1, 2025 at 9:00 pm (Ball Arena)

Betting Odds: Denver Nuggets -4.5 / Atlanta Hawks +4.5 --- Over/Under: 246.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Atlanta Hawks and Denver Nuggets meet Wednesday in NBA action at the Ball Arena. Here’s an Atlanta Hawks vs Denver Nuggets Prediction. This article will include an Atlanta Hawks vs Denver Nuggets Pick.

Atlanta Hawks Betting Preview

The Atlanta Hawks beat the Heat and Raptors, and they play the Lakers, Clippers, and Jazz next. The Atlanta Hawks are averaging 117.9 points on 46.7 percent shooting and allowing 118.8 points on 47 percent shooting. Trae Young is averaging 22 points and 3.6 rebounds, while De’Andre Hunter is averaging 20.6 points and 4.1 rebounds. Jalen Johnson is the third double-digit scorer, and Dyson Daniels is grabbing 5.1 rebounds. The Atlanta Hawks are shooting 35.5 percent from beyond the arc and 78.5 percent from the free-throw line. The Atlanta Hawks are allowing 38.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.8 rebounds per game.

Denver Nuggets Betting Preview

The Denver Nuggets beat the Pistons and Jazz, and they play the Spurs, Celtics, and Clippers next. The Denver Nuggets are averaging 120.5 points on 50.1 percent shooting and allowing 117.5 points on 47 percent shooting. Nikola Jokic is averaging 31 points and 12.9 rebounds, while Jamal Murray is averaging 19.8 points and 4.2 rebounds. Michael Porter Jr. is the third double-digit scorer and Christian Braun is grabbing 4.8 rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 38.1 percent from beyond the arc and 75.8 percent from the free-throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 35.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45 rebounds per game.

Atlanta Hawks vs Denver Nuggets Injury Report

The only relevant injury for the Hawks is seeing Bogdan Bogdanovic questionable with a leg injury. Bogdanovic hasn’t played since December 21 and it’s a big loss for the Hawks bench.

The Nuggets will be without Vlatko Cancar, Aaron Gordon, DaRon Holmes II, and Dario Saric. The big loss is Gordon, who has missed the last two games with a calf injury. Peyton Watson will keep getting more minutes and it does create opportunities for DeAndre Jordan when the Nuggets need size.

Why the Atlanta Hawks will win

  • The Hawks have won three of their last four games as road underdogs when playing with a rest advantage.
  • The Nuggets have lost four of their last six games as favorites following a road win.
  • The Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games at Ball Arena against Southeast Division opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Hawks have covered the spread in each of their last three night games.

Total Points Facts

  • Twelve of the Nuggets' last 13 games against Eastern Conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Seven of the Hawks' last eight games against the Nuggets following a road win have gone OVER the total points line.

Denver Nuggets Player Facts

  • Christian Braun ranks 1st in the league for fast break points (155) this season.
  • Jamal Murray ranks 7th in the Western Conference amongst qualified players for assists per game (6.4) this season.

Atlanta Hawks Player Facts

  • Jalen Johnson ranks 4th in the Eastern Conference amongst qualified players for rebounds per game (10.2) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Nuggets rank 30th in the league for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (30.8).
  • The Nuggets rank 1st in the league for free throw attempts per game this season (25.0).
  • The Hawks rank 1st in the league for free throws made per game this season (19.3).
  • The Hawks rank 1st in the league for Q4 points per game this season (29.5).

Atlanta Hawks vs Denver Nuggets Prediction

This is a fun game, as the Hawks and Nuggets had their issues earlier this season but are showing signs of turning things around. The Hawks have won and covered each of their last four games. The Nuggets have won 7 of their last 10 games. I still see the value of the Hawks and the free buckets. The Nuggets are 13-17-1 ATS on the season and haven't been as dominant at home as in past years. The Hawks have shined in these underdog spots as of late, and them stealing this game wouldn't be surprising. The Gordon injury doesn't help the Nuggets against this Hawks athleticism. I'll take my chances with the Hawks and the points.

Randy’s Pick Atlanta Hawks +4.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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