Yankees vs Orioles Prediction 8/19/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Yankees vs Orioles prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, August 19th at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 70-55 this year after they won game one by a score of 3-1 on Tuesday night. New York blew an early 1-0 lead, but they scored twice in the seventh inning to get the win. The Yankees recorded five hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Grisham, who went 2-4 with one home run and three RBIs. Rodon allowed two hits and one earned run over 4.0 innings, while De los Santos picked up the win and Bednar got the save. Prior to this series, New York lost two out of three against the Blue Jays, but did win two out of three against the Mariners before that. 

This season, New York has a 3.24 ERA with a 1.18 WHIP and a .224 opponent batting average, while they have scored 554 runs with a .229 batting average and a .308 on base percentage. Ben Rice has led the Yankees with 33 home runs and 78 RBIs, while Cody Bellinger has added 11 home runs and 53 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Will Warren, who is 8-6 with a 4.42 ERA and a 1.41 WHIP over 118.0 innings pitched this year. 

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 61-65 this season after they lost game one by a score of 1-3 last night. Baltimore tied the game at one in the third inning, but went scoreless over the last six innings for the loss. The Orioles recorded four hits in the game and they were led by Mayo, who went 1-3 with one home run and one RBI. Baz allowed four hits and three earned runs over 6.1 innings for the loss, while Suarez threw two innings in relief. Prior to this series, Baltimore won three out of four against the Rays, but lost two out of three against the Twins before that. 

This season, Baltimore has a 4.23 ERA with a 1.35 WHIP and a .254 opponent batting average, while they have scored 570 runs with a .237 batting average and a .320 on base percentage. Pete Alonso has led the Orioles with 28 home runs and 81 RBIs, while Gunnar Henderson has added 20 home runs and 51 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Chris Bassitt, who is 4-4 with a 5.11 ERA and a 1.62 WHIP over 61.2 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

• The Orioles have won six of their last seven games as home underdogs against AL East opponents following a home loss.
• The Yankees have lost each of their last three games as favorites after playing the previous day.
• The Orioles have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games as underdogs against American League opponents following a home loss.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven night games against AL East opponents following a win.

Why the New York Yankees will win

• The Yankees have won 11 of their last 13 games against the Orioles.
• The Orioles have lost five of their last six home games after playing the previous day.
• The road team has covered the run line in six of the Orioles’ last seven games.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in 12 of their last 15 games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards against teams that held a winning record.
• The Orioles have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five home games against opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Ten of the last 11 games between the Yankees and Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Yankees’ last five games as favorites against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in 15 of the Orioles’ last 16 games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in 11 of the Yankees’ last 12 games.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Chris Bassitt has recorded a win in each of his last five home appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Chris Bassitt has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last 12 Wednesday appearances against teams that held a winning record.
• Coby Mayo has hit a home run in each of the Orioles’ last two games as underdogs.
• Pete Alonso has recorded at least one hit in each of the Orioles’ last 10 games as underdogs.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• Trent Grisham has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances in night games against AL teams that held a losing record.
• Will Warren has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances against the Orioles.
• Will Warren has recorded five or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances with the Yankees as favorites against the Orioles.
• Luis Garcia has hit at least one home run in each of his last three road appearances against the Orioles after playing the previous day.

Yankees vs Orioles Prediction 

New York was able to start this series with a win on Tuesday night and they have won two games in a row. The Yankees are 39-28 on the road this year, while the Orioles are 32-31 at home. Baltimore has dropped two in a row, but they have scored 6+ runs in three of their last five games. The Orioles are starting Bassitt, who has allowed 2, 3, 1, 3, and 4 earned runs in his last five outings, while Warren has allowed 5, 3, 0, and 6 earned runs in his last four starts. Take the over here.

David Racey's Pick: Over 9