Yankees vs Orioles Prediction 5/12/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Yankees vs Orioles prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, May 12th at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 26-16 this year after they lost game one by a score of 3-2 on Monday night. New York led 2-0 for the majority of the game, but their bullpen fell apart in the later innings for the loss. The Yankees recorded five hits in the game and they were led by Rice, who went 2-4 with one home run and two RBIs. Weathers allowed one hit and two earned runs over 6.1 innings, while Headrick picked up the loss. Prior to this series, New York lost all three against the Brewers, but did win two out of three against the Rangers before that. 

This season, New York has a 3.15 ERA with a 1.15 WHIP and a .218 opponent batting average, while they have scored 217 runs with a .237 batting average and a .331 on base percentage. Aaron Judge has led the Yankees with 16 home runs and 30 RBIs, while Ben Rice has added 13 home runs and 29 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Will Warren, who is 4-1 with a 3.46 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP over 41.2 innings pitched this year. 

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 19-23 this season after they won game one by a score of 3-2 last night. Baltimore had trouble getting on base in the first six innings, but they scored three in the seventh for the win. The Orioles recorded three hits in the game and they were led by Mayo, who went 1-2 with one home run and three RBIs. Young allowed three hits and two earned runs over 5.1 innings, while Enns got the win and Nunez picked up the save. Prior to this series, Baltimore lost two out of three against the Athletics, but did win two out of three against the Marlins before that. 

This season, Baltimore has a 4.68 ERA with a 1.44 WHIP and a .263 opponent batting average, while they have scored 184 runs with a .230 batting average and a .317 on base percentage. Jeremiah Jackson has led the Orioles with six home runs and 24 RBIs, while Pete Alonso has added eight home runs and 22 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is TBD.

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

• The home team has won 11 of the Yankees’ last 12 games.
• The Yankees have lost each of their last five road games after playing the previous day.
• The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last five night games following a win.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line each of their last four road games against teams that held a losing record.

Why the New York Yankees will win

• The Yankees have won 14 of their last 16 games against the Orioles following a road loss.
• The Orioles have lost six of their last seven games against AL East opponents.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Yankees have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Orioles have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five night games against opponents that held a winning record.
• The Orioles have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five games against AL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Yankees’ last seven road games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Seven of the last eight games between the Yankees and Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Yankees’ last six games against American League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the last 10 night games between the Yankees and Orioles.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Adley Rutschman has recorded at least one hit in nine of his last 10 home appearances.
• Jordan Westburg has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• Aaron Judge has hit at least one home run in four of the Yankees’ last five Tuesday games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
• Aaron Judge has recorded at least one hit in each of the Yankees’ last six games against opponents that held a losing record.

Yankees vs Orioles Prediction 

New York comes into this matchup on a four game losing streak and they have been horrible at holding leads during that span. The Yankees are 12-10 on the road this year, while the Orioles are 11-11 at home. Baltimore has won two in a row, but they have scored three runs or fewer in five straight. The Orioles haven’t announced their pitching plans, while Warren has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. Both offenses are struggling right now, so I am going to back the under here.

David Racey's Pick: Under