White Sox vs Marlins Prediction 3/31/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a White Sox vs Marlins prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, March 31st at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Chicago White Sox Betting Preview

The Chicago White Sox are 1-3 this season after they won game one in this series by a score of 9-4 on Monday night. Chicago scored eight runs in the 3rd/4th innings and they were able to cruise to the easy lopsided win. The White Sox recorded nine hits in the game and they were led by Vargas, who went 2-4 with one home run and six RBIs. Martin allowed five hits and three earned runs over 5.0 innings for the win, while Hicks grabbed the four out save. 

This season, Chicago has a 8.45 ERA with a 2.09 WHIP and a .314 opponent batting average, while they have scored 19 runs with a .221 batting average and a .309 on base percentage. Miguel Vargas has led the White Sox with one home run and six RBIs, while Colson Montgomery has added one home runs and five RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Erick Fedde, who went 4-13 with a 5.49 ERA and a 1.52 WHIP over 141.0 innings pitched for three different teams last season. 

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 3-1 this year after they picked up their first loss in game one on Monday night. Miami did cut the deficit to 9-4 in the eighth inning and had some runners on, but they couldn’t get any closer in the loss. The Marlins recorded eight hits in the game and they were led by Hicks, who went 2-4 with one home run and three RBIs. Paddack allowed eight hits and eight earned runs over 4.0 innings for the loss, while Bachar allowed one hit and one earned run over 3.0 relief innings. 

This season, Miami has a 3.75 ERA with a 0.97 WHIP and a .211 opponent batting average, while they have scored 14 runs with a .270 batting average and a .352 on base percentage. Liam Hicks has led the Marlins with two home runs and six RBIs, while Owen Caissie has added one home run and four RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Janson Junk, who went 6-4 with a 4.17 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP over 110.0 innings pitched last year. 

Why the Miami Marlins will win

• The White Sox have lost each of their last six games against National League opponents following a win.
• The Marlins have won four of their last five games.
• The Marlins have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games against American League opponents following a loss.
• The White Sox have failed to cover the run line each of their last six Tuesday games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The White Sox have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last nine road night games.

Why the Chicago White Sox will win

• The underdogs have won each of the last four games between the White Sox and Marlins.
• The Marlins have lost each of their last three games as favorites against AL Central opponents.
• The White Sox have covered the run line in each of their last eight road games against NL East opponents.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 Tuesday games as home favorites.
• The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games against American League opponents.
• The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games against AL Central opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Marlins’ last eight home games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Four of the White Sox’s last five games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Marlins’ last five games against American League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the White Sox’s last five road games.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Kyle Stowers has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances in night games against AL teams that held a losing record.

Chicago White Sox Player Prop Facts

• Austin Hays has recorded at least one hit in 15 of his last 17 appearances in night games.

White Sox vs Marlins Prediction 

Chicago was able to get their first win of the season on Monday night and their offense has scored 16 runs in their last two games. The White Sox are starting Fedde, who was awful for a few different teams in 2025. Miami picked up their first loss yesterday and they will look for a better starting pitcher performance. The Marlins are starting Junk, who was a solid option for them last year. I will not back Fedde after last year’s disaster, so give me the Marlins -1.5 here.

David Racey's Pick: Marlins -1.5