Toronto Blue Jays vs Detroit Tigers Prediction 5/16/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

The Toronto Blue Jays and Detroit Tigers meet Saturday in MLB action at Comerica Park. Here’s a Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers Prediction. This article will include a Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers Pick.

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 19-25 on the year and play the Yankees and Pirates next. The Toronto Blue Jays are batting .245 on the season and have a .310 OBP, and a .373 slugging percentage. The Toronto Blue Jays’ pitching staff has a 4.10 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP. Ernie Clement leads the Toronto Blue Jays with 50 hits and 12 RBI while Kazuma Okamoto and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. have combined for 83 hits and 45 RBI.

Mason Fluharty gets the ball for the Toronto Blue Jays, and he is 2-0 with a 5.40 ERA and 19 strikeouts this season. Fluharty is 0-1 with a 3.38 ERA and 3 strikeouts in his career against the Detroit Tigers.

Detroit Tigers Betting Preview

The Detroit Tigers are 20-25 on the year and play the Guardians and Orioles next. The Detroit Tigers are batting .242 on the season and have a .325 OBP, and a .387 slugging percentage. The Detroit Tigers’ pitching staff has a 4.02 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP. Riley Greene leads the Detroit Tigers with 53 hits and 23 RBI, while Colt Keith and Kevin McGonigle have combined for 84 hits and 22 RBI.

Casey Mize gets the ball for the Detroit Tigers, and he is 2-2 with a 2.90 ERA and 35 strikeouts this season. This will be Mize’s second career game against the Toronto Blue Jays.

Why the Detroit Tigers will win

• The Blue Jays have lost each of their last five road games against American League opponents.
• The Tigers have won seven of their last eight home games following a home win.
• The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 11 games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• The Tigers have covered the run line in each of their last four games against American League opponents following a home win.
• The Blue Jays have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five day games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• The Blue Jays have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five day games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

• The underdogs have won five of the Blue Jays’ last six games at Comerica Park.
• The Tigers have lost six of their last eight games as favorites against AL East opponents.
• The Blue Jays have covered the run line in each of their last seven games as underdogs against the Tigers following a loss.
• The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 games as favorites against American League opponents following a win.
• The Blue Jays have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Blue Jays have led after 5 innings in three of their last four games against American League opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Four of the Tigers’ last five games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Four of the Blue Jays’ last five road games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last four games at Comerica Park.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Tigers’ last six Saturday games.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

• Casey Mize has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last five home appearances.
• Casey Mize has recorded a win in each of his last five appearances at Comerica Park against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Zach McKinstry has hit a home run in four of the Tigers’ last five Saturday day games at Comerica Park.
• Riley Greene has recorded at least one hit in each of the Tigers’ last 10 games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Riley Greene ranks 5th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.329) this season.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

• George Springer has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances with the Blue Jays as road underdogs against AL Central opponents.
• Alejandro Kirk has hit at least one home run in three of his last four appearances in day games against AL teams that held a losing record.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Tigers rank T26th in the league for steals this season (20).
• The Tigers rank T6th in the league for home runs allowed this season (39).
• The Blue Jays rank 29th in the league for steals this season (16).
• The Blue Jays are one of only four teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and walks allowed this season.

Toronto Blue Jays vs Detroit Tigers Prediction

The Blue Jays have had issues on the road and Fluharty hasn’t pitched well through 15 innings, as he has a 5.40 ERA and 1.40 WHIP. The Tigers have played their best ball at home all year and Mize has been respectable with a 2.90 ERA and 1.19 WHIP through 31 innings. Quick turnaround: give me the Tigers at home with the more reliable arm on the bump.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Detroit Tigers