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Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction 06/29/2025 Picks
Pick details
Toronto (44-38) vs Boston (41-43)
June 29, 2025 at 01:35 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Boston +1.5 — Over/Under: +10
The Toronto Blue Jays and Boston Red Sox meet Sunday in MLB action at Fenway Park. Here’s a Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction. This article will include a Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Pick.
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview
The Toronto Blue Jays are 44-38 on the year and play the Yankees, Angels, and White Sox next. The Toronto Blue Jays are batting .257 on the season, have a .327 OBP, and a .397 slugging percentage. The Toronto Blue Jays pitching staff has a 4.22 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP. Bo Bichette leads the Toronto Blue Jays with 96 hits and 49 RBI, while Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Ernie Clement have combined for 164 hits and 61 RBI.
Eric Lauer gets the ball for the Toronto Blue Jays, and he is 4-1 with a 2.21 ERA and 41 strikeouts this season. Lauer is 1-0 with a 3.00 ERA and 8 strikeouts in his career against the Boston Red Sox.
Boston Red Sox Betting Preview
The Boston Red Sox are 41-43 on the year and play the Reds, Nationals, and Rockies next. The Boston Red Sox are batting .249 on the season, have a .322 OBP, and a .415 slugging percentage. The Boston Red Sox pitching staff has a 3.98 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP. Jarren Duran leads the Boston Red Sox with 88 hits and 38 RBI while Trevor Story and Ceddanne Rafaela have combined for 140 hits and 75 RBI.
Walker Buehler gets the ball for the Boston Red Sox, and he is 5-5 with a 6.29 ERA and 56 strikeouts this season. Buehler is 0-0 with a 0.68 ERA and 15 strikeouts in his career against the Toronto Blue Jays.
Why the Boston Red Sox will win
The Red Sox have won each of their last five games as home underdogs against the Blue Jays.
The Blue Jays have lost four of their last five games as road favorites after playing the previous day.
The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the last seven games between the Blue Jays and Red Sox at Fenway Park.
The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four day games against AL East opponents.
The Red Sox have won the first inning in four of their last five day games against American League opponents.
The Red Sox have led after 5 innings in six of their last seven home games.
The Red Sox have led after 3 innings in six of their last seven home games.
Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win
The Blue Jays have won five of their last six day games against the Red Sox following a road loss.
The Red Sox have lost five of their last six games after playing the previous day.
The Blue Jays have covered the run line in each of their last four road games against American League opponents following a loss.
The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games.
Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts
Walker Buehler has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his three previous appearances in day games against AL teams that held a winning record.
Abraham Toro has recorded at least one hit in each of his seven previous appearances with the Red Sox as underdogs against AL East opponents.
Alex Bregman has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts
Daulton Varsho has hit a home run in four of his last seven appearances in day games against AL teams that held a losing record.
Bo Bichette has recorded at least one hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last 11 games as favorites against AL opponents.
Eric Lauer has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction
The Blue Jays have cooled off a lot lately, and yesterday’s loss was ugly. However, the Jays have a clear edge on the mound in this spot, as Lauer has allowed four runs in his last 21 innings. In 24.2 road innings, Lauer has a 2.19 ERA and .195 allowed batting average. Buehler has a 6.29 ERA and 1.57 WHIP on the season, and he’s allowed 24 hits and 21 earned runs in his last 16.1 innings. Buehler has allowed five or more earned runs in four of his last five starts. No, thank you. Give me the Blue Jays for a bounce back win.