Tigers vs Padres Prediction 3/28/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Tigers vs Padres prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, March 28th at Petco Park in San Diego, California. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Detroit Tigers Betting Preview

The Detroit Tigers are 2-0 this year after they won games one and two by scores of 8-2 and 5-2. In game two, Detroit trailed 1-0 and 2-1, but they scored four runs in the eighth inning to escape with the win. The Tigers recorded six hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by McGonigle, who went 1-3 with two RBIs. Valdez allowed seven hits and one earned run over 6.0 innings in the no decision, while De Jesus got the win and Jansen picked up the save.  

Last season, Detroit had a 3.95 ERA with a 1.25 WHIP and a .241 opponent batting average, while they scored 758 runs with a .247 batting average and a .316 on base percentage. Riley Green led the team with 36 home runs and 111 RBIs, while Spencer Torkelson added 31 home runs and 78 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Jack Flaherty, who went 8-15 with a 4.64 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP over 161.0 innings pitched last year. 

San Diego Padres Betting Preview

The San Diego Padres are 0-2 this season after they dropped game two in this series by a score of 5-2 on Friday night. San Diego took the 2-1 lead in the sixth inning and they had plenty of baserunners all night, but their bullpen fell apart in the eighth for the loss. The Padres recorded eight hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Andujar and Laureano, who both had one RBI. King allowed one hit and zero earned runs over 5.0 innings in the no decision, while Estrada allowed one hit and four earned runs over 0.2 innings for the loss. 

Last season, San Diego had a 3.63 ERA with a 1.21 WHIP and a .225 opponent batting average, while they scored 702 runs with a .252 batting average and a .321 on base percentage. Manny Machado led the team with 27 home runs and 95 RBIs, while Gavin Sheets added 19 home runs and 71 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for SD is Randy Vasquez, who went 6-7 with a 3.84 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP over 133.2 innings pitched last season. 

Why the San Diego Padres will win

• The Tigers have lost each of their last six games as favorites after playing the previous day.
• The Padres have won each of their last nine Saturday night games against AL Central opponents.
• The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as favorites after playing the previous day.
• The Padres have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 games as home underdogs after playing the previous day.
• The Padres have led after 5 innings in each of their last four home night games.

Why the Detroit Tigers will win

• The Tigers have won each of their last 10 games against NL West opponents following a win.
• The Padres have lost each of their last five home games against American League opponents following a loss.
• The Tigers have covered the run line each of their last seven games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
• The Padres have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight home games against American League opponents.
• The Padres have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight night games against American League opponents.
• The Tigers have led after 3 innings in each of their last three games as road favorites against NL West opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Tigers’ last five night games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Five of the Padres’ last six games as underdogs against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Tigers’ last nine night games.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Padres’ last four games as home underdogs.

San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts

• Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances at Petco Park against opponents that held a winning record.
• Xander Bogaerts has recorded at least one hit in each of the Padres’ last nine games.
• Jackson Merrill has recorded a Double in three of the Padres’ last four games against opponents that held a winning record.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

• Jack Flaherty has recorded six or more strikeouts in six of his last seven appearances against NL opponents.
• Spencer Torkelson has recorded at least one hit in each of his 12 previous road appearances against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
• Zach McKinstry has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances with the Tigers as favorites against NL West opponents.
• Jake Rogers has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances with the Tigers as road favorites against NL opponents.

Tigers vs Padres Prediction 

Detroit was able to escape with a late victory in game two on Friday night and they will look for three wins in a row here. The Tigers are starting Flaherty, who was a disaster last season, so we will see if he can turn things around. San Diego needs to find more offense and they are starting King, who was very solid in 130+ innings last year. I think this is a great spot for the Padres offense to find some footing and I like them to get the win here.

David Racey's Pick: Padres ML