Detroit Tigers Riley Greene celebrates after hitting a home run against the Twins at Comerica Park in Detroit on Saturday, June 28, 2025.

Tigers vs Nationals Prediction 07/01/2025 Picks

Pick details

Detroit (53-32) vs Washington (35-49)

July 1, 2025 at 06:45 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Washington +1.5 — Over/Under: +9.5

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a Tigers vs Nationals prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, July 1st at Nationals Park in Washington, DC. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Detroit Tigers Betting Preview
The Detroit Tigers are 53-32 this year after they won two out of three against Minnesota by scores of 1-4, 10-5, and 3-0. In their game three win, Detroit jumped out to an early 1-0 lead in the first inning, which is all they would need with a dominant pitching performance. The Tigers recorded 10 hits in the game and they were led by Carpenter, who went 2-3 with one home run and two RBIs in the win. Detroit started Skubal, who allowed one hit and zero earned runs over 7.0 innings for the win, while Vest picked up another save. 

Prior to that series, the Tigers won two out of three against the Athletics, but did lose two out of three against the Rays before that. Detroit has won five of their last seven games and they are currently first in the AL Central standings. The Detroit pitching staff has a 3.44 ERA with a 1.18 WHIP and a .232 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 424 runs with a .256 batting average and a .325 on base percentage this season. Riley Greene has led Detroit with 19 home runs and 63 RBIs, while Spencer Torkelson has added 17 home runs and 50 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Jack Flaherty, who is 5-9 with a 4.80 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP over 84.1 innings pitched this year. 

Washington Nationals Betting Preview
The Washington Nationals are 35-49 this season after they won two out of three against the Angels by scores of 15-9, 2-8, and 7-4. In their game three win, Washington needed a run in the ninth to force extra innings, where they picked up the win in the 11th. The Nationals recorded 11 hits in the game and they were led by Abrams, who went 2-6 with three RBIs in the win. Washington started Parker, who allowed six hits and three earned runs over 5.0 innings, while Finnegan picked up the win in relief. 

Prior to that series, the Nationals lost two out of three against the Padres and two out of three against the Dodgers. Washington hasn’t won back to back games in weeks and they are currently last in the NL East standings. The Washington pitching staff has a 5.01 ERA with a 1.39 WHIP and a .260 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 366 runs with a .244 batting average and a .311 on base percentage this season. James Wood has led Washington with 22 home runs and 64 RBIs, while Nathaniel Lowe has added 13 home runs and 54 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Washington is Trevor Williams, who is 3-9 with a 5.65 ERA and a 1.47 WHIP over 79.2 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Nationals will beat the Tigers
The Tigers have lost each of their last three games as favorites against NL East opponents following a win.
The Nationals have won five of their last six games as underdogs following an extra innings win.
The Nationals have covered the run line in each of their last six games as underdogs following an extra innings win.
The Tigers have failed to cover the run line each of their last four night games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.

Why the Tigers will beat the Nationals
The Nationals have lost nine of their last 10 night games at Nationals Park following an extra innings win.
The Tigers have won five of their last six road games against National League opponents.
The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine home games.
The road team has covered the run line in 15 of the Nationals’ last 17 games.
The Tigers have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games as road favorites against National League opponents.
The Nationals have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last three games as home underdogs.

Total Runs Facts
Each of the Tigers’ last five games as favorites against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
Each of the Nationals’ last four home games against AL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Nationals’ last nine night games against American League opponents.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Tigers’ last four games at Nationals Park.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts
Amed Rosario has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
Josh Bell has hit a home run in each of the Nationals’ last two night games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
Trevor Williams has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last nine appearances at Nationals Park against opponents that held a winning record.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts
Riley Greene has hit a home run in each of the Tigers’ last two games as favorites.
Jack Flaherty has recorded nine or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances with the Tigers as favorites against NL opponents.
Gleyber Torres has recorded at least one Double in six of his last eight appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
Jack Flaherty has recorded a win in six of his last seven appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
Matt Vierling has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances with his team as a road favorite against NL opponents.

Tigers vs Nationals Prediction 
Detroit comes into this series tied with the Dodgers for most wins so far this year, but they haven’t played their best over the last two weeks. The Tigers are 23-18 on the road this year, while the Nationals are 16-24 at home. Washington has been a decent offensive team this year, but their pitching staff has been bad. The Nats are starting Williams, who has allowed two earned runs in three of his last four starts. The Tigers are going with Flaherty, who has allowed 3, 8, and 7 earned runs in his last three outings. I think we are going to see a high scoring game here, so I like the over. 

David Racey's Pick: Over 9.5

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