Texas Rangers vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 3/28/2026 Today's MLB Picks

MATCHUP	Texas Rangers	Philadelphia Phillies
Team Records	0-1	1-0
Spread	+1.5 -166	-1.5 137
Moneyline	+128	-154
Total	Over 7.5 (-110)	Under 7.5 (-110)
Where	Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
When	Saturday, March 28, 2026
Time	04:05 PM EDT
TV	MLB.TV

The Texas Rangers and the Philadelphia Phillies meet Saturday in MLB action from Citizens Bank Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Texas Rangers vs. Philadelphia Phillies prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Texas Rangers will send out Jacob deGrom here and deGrom was 12-8 with a 2.97 ERA and 185 strikeouts last season. In his last five starts against the Phillies, deGrom is 1-1 with a 3.18 ERA and 37 strikeouts. Aaron Nola will start for the Phillies here and Nola was 5-10 with a 6.01 ERA and 97 strikeouts last season. This will Nola’s second career start against the Rangers.

Texas Rangers Recap

The Texas Rangers come into this game looking to shake off their 5-3 loss at the hands of the Phillies time out to start the season at 0-1. After this series, the Rangers will head on the road for a series against the Baltimore Orioles.

Rangers Looking To Get Back Into Series

Jake Burger went 3 for 4 with a home run and two RBIs while Danny Jansen added an RBI as well. Corey Seager went 2 for 4 at the dish for Texas while Andrew McCutchen and Kyle Higashioka each had a base hit to cap off the offense for Texas in the loss. Nathan Eovaldi took the loss, falling to 0-1 after giving up five earned runs on eight hits with seven strikeouts over 4.2 innings of work.

Philadelphia Phillies Recap

The Philadelphia Phillies come into this game looking to add on to their win to start the year after knocking off the Rangers last time out. After this series, the Phillies will begin a set at home against the Washington Nationals.

Phillies Pushing For Series Win Out Of The Gate

Alec Bohm led the way by logging a three-run home run while Kyle Schwarber had a two-run blast to account for Philadelphia’s offense in the win. Trea Turner, Bryson Stott, Brandon Marsh and J.P. Crawford all went 2 for 4 at the dish with Marsh logging a pair of doubles. Cristopher Sanchez got the win to start the year at 1-0 after throwing six innings of three-hit shutout ball with 10 strikeouts while Jhoan Duran closed the 9th for his first save of the year.

Texas Rangers @ Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends: March 28, 2026

Probable Starting Pitcher: Aaron Nola Record this season: – ERA: –
Home Record: –
Last 5 against Rangers: 0-0

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

The Phillies have won each of their last seven games against the Rangers.
The Rangers have lost each of their last seven games against NL East opponents following a loss.
The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 games against National League opponents following a loss.
The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last eight games against the Rangers.
The Rangers have lost the first inning in six of their last seven road games.
The Phillies have led after 5 innings in each of their last six games as favorites against AL West opponents.
The Phillies have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight games as home favorites against AL West opponents.

Probable Starting Pitcher: Jacob deGrom Record this season: – ERA: –
Road Record: –
Last 5 against Phillies: 1-1

Why the Texas Rangers will win

The Rangers have won each of their last six Saturday day games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
The Phillies have lost four of their last five day games against American League opponents following a home win.
The Phillies have failed to cover the run line each of their last six day games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
The Rangers have covered the run line in each of their last six Saturday road games against National League opponents.
The Phillies have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four home games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

Six of the Phillies’ last seven home games against AL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
Eleven of the Rangers’ last 13 day games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rangers’ last seven games.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Phillies’ last nine games against American League opponents.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

Kyle Schwarber has hit a home run in each of the Phillies’ last three games against AL West opponents.
Aaron Nola has recorded a win in four of his last five home appearances.
Aaron Nola has recorded six or more strikeouts in 12 of his last 13 appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
Trea Turner has recorded at least one hit in each of the Phillies’ last 12 home games against AL West opponents.
Kyle Schwarber ranked 2nd in the league in Home Runs (56) last season.

Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts

Josh Jung has recorded a Double in four of the Rangers’ last five games against opponents that held a winning record.
Corey Seager has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances at Citizens Bank Park against opponents that held a winning record.
Jacob deGrom has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances against NL opponents.
Jacob deGrom has recorded seven or more strikeouts in 15 of his last 17 appearances against NL opponents.
Andrew McCutchen has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 road appearances after not playing the previous day.

Matchup/League Facts

The Phillies ranked 2nd in the league for hits last season (1426).
The Phillies ranked 2nd in the league for batting average last season (.258).
The Rangers ranked 1st in the league for ERA last season (3.47).
The Rangers ranked 1st in the league for runs allowed last season (605).