Texas Rangers vs Houston Astros Prediction 9/16/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

The Texas Rangers and Houston Astros meet Tuesday in MLB action at Daikin Park. Here’s a Texas Rangers vs Houston Astros Prediction. This article will include a Texas Rangers vs Houston Astros Pick.

Texas Rangers Betting Preview

The Texas Rangers are 79-72 on the year and play the Marlins, Twins, and Guardians next. The Texas Rangers are batting .238 on the season, have a .306 OBP, and a .387 slugging percentage. The Texas Rangers pitching staff has a 3.42 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP. Josh Smith leads the Texas Rangers with 122 hits and 34 RBI, while Wyatt Langford and Adolis Garcia have combined for 229 hits and 134 RBI.

Merrill Kelly gets the ball for the Texas Rangers, and he is 12-7 with a 3.21 ERA and 162 strikeouts this season. Kelly is 0-1 with a 0.93 ERA and 18 strikeouts in his career against the Houston Astros.

Houston Astros Betting Preview

The Houston Astros are 82-69 on the year and play the Mariners, Athletics, and Angels next. The Houston Astros are batting .252 on the season, have a .318 OBP, and a .400 slugging percentage. The Houston Astros pitching staff has a 3.84 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP. Jose Altuve leads the Houston Astros with 146 hits and 70 RBI while Jeremy Pena and Christian Walker have combined for 273 hits and 138 RBI.

AJ Blubaugh gets the ball for the Houston Astros, and he is 3-1 with a 2.45 ERA and 25 strikeouts this season. This will be Blubaugh’s second career game against the Texas Rangers.

Texas Rangers @ Houston Astros Betting Trends: September 16, 2025

• Probable Starting Pitcher: AJ Blubaugh      Record this season: 3-1      ERA: 2.45
• Home Record: 0-1
• Last 5 against Rangers: 0-0

Why the Houston Astros will win

• The Astros have won each of their last five night games after playing the previous day.
• The Rangers have lost six of their last nine games as road favorites against AL West opponents.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in seven of the last eight games between the Rangers and Astros.
• The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 games as favorites against the Astros following a loss.
• The Rangers have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three road games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Rangers have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five road games.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Merrill Kelly      Record this season: 12-7      ERA: 3.21
• Road Record: 6-3
• Last 5 against Astros: 0-1

Why the Texas Rangers will win

• The Astros have lost seven of their last eight home games against American League opponents following a home win.
• The Rangers have won four of their last five games against the Astros following a loss.
• The Astros have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games following a home win.
• The Rangers have covered the run line in nine of their last 11 night games against the Astros at Daikin Park following a loss.
• The Rangers have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games as road favorites against American League opponents.
• The Astros have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five Tuesday night home games.

Total Runs Facts

• Five of the Rangers’ last six games as favorites against AL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Four of the Astros’ last five games as home underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 10 of the Astros’ last 11 home games against American League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 11 of the Rangers’ last 13 games at Daikin Park.

Houston Astros Player Prop Facts

• Isaac Paredes has hit a home run in four of his last seven appearances at Daikin Park against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
• Yordan Alvarez has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances with the Astros as home underdogs.
• Ramon Urias has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine home appearances against AL West opponents.

Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts

• Merrill Kelly has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his five previous appearances in night games against AL West teams that held a winning record.
• Josh Jung has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances with the Rangers as favorites against AL West opponents.
• Merrill Kelly has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances.
• Corey Seager has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances with the Rangers as favorites against AL West opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Astros rank T4th in the league for hits allowed this season (1169).
• The Astros are one of only four teams in the league to rank top 10 in both ERA and hits allowed this season.
• The Rangers rank 2nd in the league for opponent batting average this season (.228).
• The Rangers rank 2nd in the league for hits allowed this season (1138).

Texas Rangers vs Houston Astros Prediction

The Rangers are worth a look with the way they’re playing, and Kelly has been solid since coming over from Arizona, allowing 17 runs in 48 innings. However, the Astros feel like a team that’s starting to put things together and making a deep playoff run. Blubaugh doesn’t go deep into games, but he’s allowed 3 hits and 0 runs in his last 9 innings. I’m not trying to step in front of the Astros when it’s time to clutch up. The Astros have done this time and time again this time of year. Give me the Astros.