Texas Rangers vs Houston Astros Prediction 5/16/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

The Texas Rangers and Houston Astros meet Saturday in MLB action at Daikin Park. Here’s a Texas Rangers vs Houston Astros Prediction. This article will include a Texas Rangers vs Houston Astros Pick.

Texas Rangers Betting Preview

The Texas Rangers are 21-23 on the year and play the Angels and Rockies next. The Texas Rangers are batting .229 on the season and have a .311 OBP, and a .363 slugging percentage. The Texas Rangers’ pitching staff has a 3.60 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP. Josh Jung leads the Texas Rangers with 49 hits and 20 RBI, while Jake Burger and Brandon Nimmo have combined for 81 hits and 39 RBI.

Jacob deGrom gets the ball for the Texas Rangers, and he is 3-2 with a 2.62 ERA and 57 strikeouts this season. deGrom is 1-2 with a 3.70 ERA and 29 strikeouts in his career against the Houston Astros.

Houston Astros Betting Preview

The Houston Astros are 18-28 on the year and play the Cubs and Twins next. The Houston Astros are batting. 253 on the season, have a .329 OBP, and have a .416 slugging percentage. The Houston Astros’ pitching staff has a 5.47 ERA and a 1.56 WHIP. Yordan Alvarez leads the Houston Astros with 54 hits and 30 RBI while Jose Altuve and Christian Walker have combined for 83 hits and 40 RBI.

Kai-Wei Teng gets the ball for the Houston Astros, and he is 1-3 with a 3.12 ERA and 23 strikeouts this season. This will be Teng’s first career game against the Texas Rangers.

Why the Houston Astros will win

• The underdogs have won five of the last six games between the Rangers and Astros.
• The Rangers have lost four of their last five games as road favorites against the Astros following a loss.
• The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games against AL West opponents.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in 10 of the last 11 games between the Rangers and Astros.
• The Rangers have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four road games against opponents that held a losing record.
• The Astros have led after 5 innings in each of their last five night games against the Rangers at Daikin Park.
• The Rangers have lost the first inning in three of their last four games against American League opponents that held a losing record.

Why the Texas Rangers will win

• The Astros have lost nine of their last 10 games following a win.
• The Rangers have won each of their last six games as favorites following a loss.
• The Astros have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 games following a win.
• The Rangers have covered the run line in four of their last five games after playing the previous day.

Total Runs Facts

• Nine of the Rangers’ last 11 night games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Four of the Astros’ last five night games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 10 of the Rangers’ last 12 road games against AL West opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the last six night games between the Rangers and Astros at Daikin Park.

Houston Astros Player Prop Facts

• Yordan Alvarez has hit a home run in four of his last five Saturday night appearances against AL West teams that held a losing record.
• Yordan Alvarez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 Saturday appearances at Daikin Park.
• Yordan Alvarez ranks T4th in the league in Hits (54) this season.

Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts

• Corey Seager has hit a home run in three of his last six appearances with the Rangers as road favorites.
• Jacob deGrom has recorded eight or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight Saturday appearances in night games with his team as a favorite.
• Josh Jung has recorded at least one hit in 15 of his last 16 appearances in night games against AL West teams that held a losing record.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Astros rank 29th in the league for runs allowed this season (254).
• The Astros rank 3rd in the league for hits this season (395).
• The Rangers rank T28th in the league for hits this season (330).
• The Rangers rank 27th in the league for doubles this season (60).

Texas Rangers vs Houston Astros Prediction

Teng has been solid for the Astros through 26 innings, but the Astros as a whole have been horrible pitching-wise. The Astros have also had issues stringing wins together this season. deGrom is getting up there in age, through 44.2 innings, but he has a 2.62 ERA and 0.92 WHIP. He also has 57 strikeouts and just eight walks. I’m rolling with the Rangers and their ace.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Texas Rangers