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Tampa Bay Rays vs Texas Rangers Prediction MLB Picks 7/5/24
Pick details
Texas Rangers (39-47) vs Tampa Bay Rays (43-43)
July 5, 2024 at 08:05 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Texas Rangers -118 / Tampa Bay Rays +100 — Over/Under: 8.5
The Tampa Bay Rays and Texas Rangers meet Friday in MLB game 1 action at Globe Life Field. Here’s a Tampa Bay Rays vs Texas Rangers Prediction. This article will include a Tampa Bay Rays vs Texas Rangers Pick.
Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview
The Tampa Bay Rays are 44-43 on the year after playing the Nationals and Royals. The Tampa Bay Rays have scored 17 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 10 games. The Tampa Bay Rays have won 7 straight games when scoring 4 or more runs. Yandy Diaz leads the Tampa Bay Rays with 92 hits and 40 RBI, while Isaac Paredes and Amed Rosario have combined for 151 hits and 72 RBI.
Texas Rangers Betting Preview
The Texas Rangers are 39-48 on the year after playing the Orioles and Padres. The Texas Rangers have scored 12 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 8 games. The Texas Rangers have won 6 of their last 9 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Marcus Semien leads the Texas Rangers with 81 hits and 45 RBI, while Josh Smith and Corey Seager have combined for 152 hits and 72 RBI.
Tampa Bay Rays vs Texas Rangers Pitching Pick Matchup
Shane Baz gets the ball for the Tampa Bay Rays, and he is 1-2 with a 5.00 ERA and 30 strikeouts this season. Baz has allowed 15 hits and 8 runs in his last 8.1 innings. Baz has a 7.02 ERA and .286 allowed batting average in 16.2 road innings. This will be Baz’s first career game against the Texas Rangers.
Michael Lorenzen gets the ball for the Texas Rangers, and he is 4-4 with a 3.40 ERA and 58 strikeouts this season. Lorenzen has allowed 29 hits and 13 runs in his last 33.2 innings. Lorenzen has a 3.64 ERA and .212 allowed batting average in 29.2 home innings. This will be Lorenzen’s second career game against the Tampa Bay Rays.
Why the Texas Rangers will Beat the Rays
- The Rangers have won seven of their last eight games against the Rays.
- The Rays have lost five of their last six night games against the Rangers following a road win.
- The Rangers have covered the run line each of their last 10 games at Globe Life Field against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Rays have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 games against AL West opponents.
Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts
- Jonah Heim has hit a home run in three of his last five appearances at Globe Life Field against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Adolis Garcia has recorded a Double in each of the Rangers’ last four night games.
- Nathaniel Lowe has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances against AL East opponents.
- Adolis Garcia has scored at least one run in each of the Rangers’ last seven games against AL opponents.
- Nathaniel Lowe has recorded a Single in each of his last five appearances against the Rays after playing the previous day.
- Jonah Heim has recorded at least one total base in each of his last seven home appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Corey Seager has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances.
Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts
- Randy Arozarena has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances in night games.
- Josh Lowe has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four road appearances against AL West opponents.
- Amed Rosario has recorded at least one Single in each of his last four appearances in night games.
- Brandon Lowe has hit a home run in two of the Rays’ last three games against AL opponents.
- Randy Arozarena has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances in night games.
- Brandon Lowe has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Texas Rangers rank 6th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.232).
- The Texas Rangers rank 7th in the league for strikeouts against this season (669).
- The Tampa Bay Rays rank T26th in the league for home runs this season (80).
- The Tampa Bay Rays are one of only 5 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and walks allowed this season.
Tampa Bay Rays vs Texas Rangers Prediction
You could make a case for either underwhelming team, but I do lean toward the Rangers in game 1 at home. I don’t trust Shane Baz and his 5 ERA, and he’s been rocked in his last couple of starts. Michael Lorenzen has been respectable this season and is consistently giving the Rangers a chance to win. We’re approaching that point of the season where the Rangers either make a move in the standings or admit this just isn’t their year. It probably starts in this series. Cheap price. Give me the Rangers to draw first blood behind a solid showing from Lorenzen.
