Sep 6, 2025; Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA;  Milwaukee Brewers starting pitcher Brandon Woodruff (53) delivers a pitch against the Pittsburgh Pirates during the first inning at PNC Park. Mandatory Credit: Charles LeClaire-Imagn Images
Charles LeClaire-Imagn Images

Tampa Bay Rays vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction 3/31/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Tampa Bay Rays Milwaukee Brewers
Team Records 2-2 3-1
Spread +1.5 -194 -1.5 159
Moneyline +104 -126
Total Over 7.5 (100) Under 7.5 (-120)
Where American Family Field, Milwaukee, Wisconsin
When Tuesday, March 31, 2026
Time 07:40 PM EDT
TV MLB.TV

In this article, we will formulate a Rays vs Brewers Prediction for this MLB matchup on Tuesday, March 31st. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Milwaukee Brewers Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers have a 3-1 record this season and are tied in the first place of the NL Central. They have a 3-1 home record and are coming off a 2-3 home defeat by the Rays. Their previous three games were a 9-7 home win over the White Sox, a 6-1 home win over the White Sox and a 14-2 home win over the White Sox.

The Brewers have a .299 batting average this season, .407 OBP and .467 Slugging percentage. Milwaukee’s pitching staff has a 3.25 ERA and 1.29 WHIP. Christian Yelich is the team’s best hitter with a .429 batting average, also leading the team in RBI with 5 and adding a team-high one home run.

Brandon Woodruff (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Brewers, and last season he had a 7-2 record, 3.20 ERA and 0.91 WHIP.

Tampa Bay Rays Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays have a 2-2 record this season and are tied in the third place of the AL East. They have a 2-2 road record and are coming off an 3-2 road win over the Brewers. Their previous three games were a 11-7 road win over the Cardinals, a 6-5 road loss to the Cardinals and a 9-7 road loss to the Cardinals.

The Rays have a .312 batting average this season, .368 OBP and .409 Slugging percentage. Tampa Bay’s pitching staff has a 5.60 ERA and 1.27 WHIP. Yandy Diaz is the team’s best hitter with a .550 batting average, also leading the team in RBI with 6, adding a team-high one home run.

Shane McClanahan (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Rays, and last season he had an 11-2 record, 3.29 ERA and 1.18 WHIP.

Tampa Bay Rays @ Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends: March 31, 2026

  • Probable Starting Pitcher: Brandon Woodruff      Record this season: –      ERA: –
  • Home Record: –
  • Last 5 against Rays: 2-0

Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win

  • The Brewers have won nine of their last 10 home games against American League opponents.
  • The Rays have lost 19 of their last 23 road games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last six games as home favorites against American League opponents following a loss.
  • The Rays have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last 10 games against the Brewers following a win.
  • The Rays have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last six Tuesday games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Rays have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six Tuesday games against National League opponents that held a winning record.

  • Probable Starting Pitcher: Shane McClanahan      Record this season: –      ERA: –
  • Road Record: –
  • Last 5 against Brewers: 0-0

Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win

  • The Brewers have lost each of their last seven night games after playing the previous day.
  • The underdogs have won three of the Rays’ last four games.
  • The Rays have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 games as road underdogs against National League opponents following a win.
  • The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight night games following a loss.
  • The Rays have led after 3 innings in each of their last three night games against National League opponents.
  • The Rays have won the first inning in each of their last four games as underdogs against National League opponents.
  • The Brewers have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last three games as favorites against AL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the last five games between the Rays and Brewers have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Four of the Rays’ last five games have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Brewers’ last eight games as favorites.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 11 of the Rays’ last 12 night games.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

  • William Contreras has hit a home run in each of the Brewers’ last two games against the Rays.
  • Brandon Woodruff has recorded six or more strikeouts in nine of his last 10 home appearances.
  • Brice Turang has recorded at least one hit in each of the Brewers’ last eight games against AL opponents.
  • Brandon Woodruff has recorded a win in eight of his last nine appearances in night games.
  • Joey Ortiz ranks T4th in the league in Steals (2) this season.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

  • Yandy Diaz has hit a home run in three of the Rays’ last four games as underdogs against NL opponents.
  • Shane McClanahan has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his seven previous appearances against NL Central opponents.
  • Gavin Lux has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven road appearances.
  • Yandy Diaz ranks 1st in the league in Hits (11) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Brewers rank T1st in the league for runs scored this season (31).
  • The Brewers rank 1st in the league for RBIs this season (30).
  • The Rays rank 1st in the league for hits this season (48).
  • The Rays rank 1st in the league for batting average this season (.312).

Rays vs Brewers Prediction

The Rays are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings against the Brewers, but the Brewers are 3-2 in their last 5 meetings in Milwaukee. Their last four meetings have gone under the total.

In this Rays vs Brewers Prediction, the Brewers are coming as -140 home favorites. The Brewers lost their first game of the season yesterday but are still better both offensively and defensively this season. They are putting Brandon Woodruff who was excellent last season, while the Rays put the leftie Shane McClanahan who has not played since 2023 and they also have the second-worst bullpen ERA so far, with an abysmal 8.78 ERA and 1.88 WHIP, as opposed to Milwaukee’s 1.45 ERA and 0.91 WHIP, which is good for 7th-best in baseball so far. Milwaukee was also the best hitting team against left-handed pitching last season, so take them for the bounce-back win at home in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Milwaukee Brewers ML