In this article, we will formulate a Mariners vs Twins prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, June 24, at Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Seattle Mariners Betting Preview

The Seattle Mariners (40-37, 20-18 Away) have swept the Cleveland Guardians, lost to the Boston Red Sox, and defeated the Chicago Cubs in the last three series. In the opening game against the Minnesota Twins, the Mariners dominated and secured a comfortable 11-2 victory. Julio Rodriguez led the offense with four RBI, while Luke Raley contributed three RBI. Bryan Woo got the win after allowing two runs on six hits with nine strikeouts and one walk across 6.0 innings of work.

This season, the Mariners average 4.65 runs per game (10th in the MLB) on a .249/.326/.411 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Mariners’ staff has a 3.96 ERA (18th) and 1.28 WHIP (18th). Cal Raleigh leads the Mariners with a .278 batting average, 32 home runs, and 68 RBI this season.

Luis Castillo will take the mound for the Mariners on Tuesday. The 32-year-old right-hander has a 4-5 record in 15 starts this year with a 3.38 ERA and 1.24 WHIP in 85.1 innings.

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Minnesota Twins (37-41, 20-16 Home) continued with poor form after losing ten of the last 11 games. The Houston Astros swept the Twins, who then lost to the Cincinnati Reds, and were swept by the Milwaukee Brewers before losing Game 1 of the current series against the Seattle Mariners. In Monday’s 11-2 defeat, Bailey Ober took the loss after allowing seven runs on seven hits with seven strikeouts and no walks in 7.0 innings.

This year, the Twins average 4.23 runs per game (20th in the MLB) on a .243/.314/.396 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Twins’ staff has a 4.26 ERA (23rd) and 1.26 WHIP (15th). Byron Buxton leads the Twins with a .280 batting average, 17 home runs, and 47 RBI this season.

The projected starting pitcher for the Twins is Chris Paddack, who is 3-6 in 15 starts this season, with a 4.48 ERA and 1.23 WHIP in 80.1 innings.

Why the Mariners will beat the Twins

The Twins have lost each of their last six games as favorites after playing the previous day.
The underdogs have won four of the Twins’ last five games.
The Twins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as favorites after playing the previous day.
The road team has covered the run line in each of the Twins’ last five games.
The Mariners have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

Each of the Mariners’ last four games have gone OVER the total runs line.
Six of the Twins’ last seven games as favorites against the Mariners have gone OVER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Mariners’ last six games as road underdogs against AL Central opponents.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Twins’ last 10 games as home favorites against AL West opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

The Twins are one of only three teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and walks allowed this season.
The Twins rank 23rd in the league for ERA this season (4.26).
The Mariners are one of only three teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and home runs this season.
The Mariners rank 4th in the league for steals this season (77).

Mariners vs Twins Prediction

The teams have traded wins in the past couple of years, each recording five in the previous ten H2H encounters. This season, Seattle was better in three of four meetings. Luis Castillo already faced the Twins this season, and he registered a shutout in 6.0 innings. Chris Paddack also started that game and surrendered one run in 8.0 innings. I don’t know whether we’ll have another low-scoring affair like that one, but I am pretty sure the Mariners are closer to the win, considering Minnesota’s form and Paddack’s displays since that strong outing against Seattle. Paddack allowed 12 runs in his previous two starts, and he will struggle here. Go with the Mariners.

Oliver Zivic's Pick: Mariners ML