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Seattle Mariners vs Kansas City Royals Prediction 07/02/2025 Picks
Pick details
Kansas City (39-46) vs Seattle (44-40)
July 1, 2025 at 09:40 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Seattle -1.5 — Over/Under: +8.5
In this article, we will formulate a Royals vs Mariners prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, July 1, at T-Mobile Park in Seattle, Washington. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Kansas City Royals Betting Preview
The Kansas City Royals (39-46, 19-22 Away) are struggling at the moment, as they lost eight of the previous nine games. Although the Royals managed to snap their six-game losing skid with a win over the Los Angeles Dodgers, they did lose three consecutive series, including a sweep at the hands of the Tampa Bay Rays. Kansas City opened the current series against Seattle with a 6-2 defeat on Monday. Bobby Witt Jr. drove in both runs for the offense, while Michael Wacha took the loss after allowing five runs on eight hits with one strikeout and two walks in 5.0 innings.
This year, the Royals average 3.28 runs per game (30th in the MLB) on a .243/.298/.365 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Royals’ staff has a 3.50 ERA (7th) and 1.22 WHIP (7th). Vinnie Pasquantino leads the Royals with a .266 batting average, 12 home runs, and 47 RBI this season.
The projected starting pitcher for the Royals is Michael Lorenzen, who is 4-8 in 16 starts this season, with a 4.91 ERA and 1.38 WHIP in 88.0 innings.
Seattle Mariners Betting Preview
The Seattle Mariners (44-40, 21-19 Home) defeated the Chicago Cubs, split with the Minnesota Twins, and beat the Texas Rangers. Seattle won that series 2-1, but interestingly, all three games went to extra innings. The Mariners then opened this series against KC with a 6-2 victory last night. Randy Arozarena led the offense with two homers and four RBI, while George Kirby got the win after allowing one run on three hits with five strikeouts and no walks across 6.0 innings.
This season, the Mariners average 4.60 runs per game (11th in the MLB) on a .248/.325/.404 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Mariners’ staff has a 3.90 ERA (15th) and 1.27 WHIP (17th). Cal Raleigh leads the Mariners with a .276 batting average, 33 home runs, and 71 RBI this season.
Emerson Hancock will take the mound for the Mariners on Tuesday. The 26-year-old right-hander has a 3-4 record in 14 starts this year with a 5.30 ERA and 1.42 WHIP in 71.1 innings.
Total Runs Facts
Each of the last four games between the Royals and Mariners have gone OVER the total runs line.
Fourteen of the Royals’ last 17 games as underdogs against the Mariners have gone OVER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the Mariners’ last 10 games against American League opponents.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 15 of the Royals’ last 17 games as road underdogs against AL West opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
The Mariners are one of only three teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and home runs this season.
The Mariners rank 4th in the league for steals this season (79).
The Royals rank 30th in the league for walks this season (202).
The Royals rank 29th in the league for RBIs this season (275).
Royals vs Mariners Prediction
The Mariners won seven of the previous ten H2H encounters, including three of the last four. Seven of those ten went Over, while that was the case in eight of Seattle’s last ten games. I am going with another Over here, because of the pitching matchup. Michael Lorenzen allowed multiple runs in each of his previous eight starts and posted a bloated 6.31 ERA in June. Emerson Hancock, on the other hand, had a bit better numbers in June ( a 4.73 ERA), but he has allowed 13 runs in his last four starts. I am backing both offenses to be prolific here, even though I am well aware that the Royals have the weakest offense in the MLB. Go with Over.