The Boston Red Sox are visiting the Seattle Mariners on Monday, June 16^th at the T-Mobile Park in the opening game of this series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Boston Red Sox vs Seattle Mariners Prediction. We will examine:
The Seattle Mariners recent form and player performance
The Boston Red Sox recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Seattle Mariners
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Boston Red Sox
Recent betting trends in games played between the Boston Red Sox vs Seattle Mariners
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Boston Red Sox vs Seattle Mariners game

Seattle Mariners Preview

The Seattle Mariners have a 36-34 record this season and are sitting on the second place of the AL West. The Mariners have a 19-17 home record and 37-29 in over/under They are coming off a 6-0 home victory over the Guardians, sweeping that series by 3-0 wins with a combined 17-5 score. Over is 4-2 in their last 6 games and they are playing the Twins and the Cubs next.

The Marinershave a .243 batting average this season, .323 OBP and .398 Slugging percentage. Seattle’s pitching staff has a 3.96 ERA and 1.31 WHIP. Julio Rodriguez leads the Mariners in hits with 74, while Cal Raleigh leads the team both in RBI with 54, and in home runs with 26. J.P. Crawford is the team’s best hitter with a .296 batting average.

Logan Gilbert (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Mariners, and he has a 1-1 record, 2.37 ERA and 0.79 WHIP. He has been better at home with a 2.10 ERA across five home starts, and he is coming off a shutout start against the Marlins, while having given up one run or less in three of his last four starts. Logan Gilbert is 0-1 with an ERA of 5.02 and 30 strikeouts in 5 appearances against the Red Sox in his career.

Boston Red Sox Preview

The Boston Red Sox have a 37-36 record this season and are sitting on the 4^th place of the AL East. The Red Sox have a 15-19 road record and are 33-39 in over/under. They are coming off a 2-0 home victory over the Yankees and they swept that series by 3-0 wins. They are 7-1 in their last 8 games, and 5-0 to the under in their last 5. They playing the Giants and the Angels next.

The Red Sox have a .253 batting average this season, .328 OBP and .422 slugging percentage. Boston’s pitching staff has a 3.96 ERA and 1.32 WHIP.  Jarren Duran leads the Red Sox with 81 hits, while Rafael Devers leads the team in RBI, with 58, in home runs, with 15, while being the team’s best hitter, with a .272 batting average.

Lucas Giolito (R) will take the mound for the Red Sox, and he has a 2-1 record, 5.45 ERA and 1.54 WHIP. He has been much better on the road, with a 2.60 ERA across three road starts, and he has been looking much better lately, having given up one run or less, in three of his last four starts. Lucas Giolito has a 1-1 record with an ERA of 6.14 and 19 strikeouts in 3 appearances versus the Mariners in his career.

Why the Seattle Mariners will win

The home team has won each of the Mariners’ last six games.
The Red Sox have lost four of their last five night games at T-Mobile Park following a win.
The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six night games following a home win.
The favorites have covered the run line in five of the Mariners’ last six games.
The Red Sox have lost the first inning in four of their last five games as road underdogs.
The Red Sox have trailed after 3 innings in eight of their last nine night games against AL West opponents.
The Red Sox have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games against AL West opponents.


Why the Boston Red Sox will win

The Mariners have lost each of their last five games as favorites against AL East opponents.
The Red Sox have won four of their last five games as underdogs.
The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in 14 of their last 15 games as favorites after playing the previous day.
The Red Sox have covered the run line in 11 of their last 12 games as road underdogs against AL West opponents.
The Red Sox have won the first inning in four of their last five games against opponents that held a winning record.
The Red Sox have led after 3 innings in each of their last five games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
The Red Sox have led after 5 innings in each of their last five games against American League opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

Each of the Red Sox’s last six road games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
Each of the Mariners’ last four night games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last five games between the Red Sox and Mariners.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Red Sox’s last seven games as road underdogs against AL West opponents.


Matchup/League Facts

The Mariners rank 29th in the league for doubles this season (93).
The Mariners rank 4th in the league for steals this season (71).
The Red Sox rank 1st in the league for doubles this season (141).
The Red Sox rank 2nd in the league for hits this season (642).

Boston Red Sox vs Seattle Mariners Prediction

The Mariners won the previous series against the Red Sox in Boston this season by 2-1 wins, but both teams are tied 5-5 wins in their last 10 meetings. Over is 4-2 in their last 6 meetings.

In this Boston Red Sox vs Seattle Mariners Prediction, the Mariners are coming as -185 home favorites. Both teams have almost identical overall records but the Mariners are above average at home, while the Red Sox are below average on the road. Both teams are in very good form, but the Mariners are playing their fourth straight game at home, while the Red Sox had to travel to Seattle all the way from the East Coast last night.

Gilbert has been excellent for the Mariners this season, and his advanced stats indicate that he is even better. Giolito on the other hand, might be looking better lately, but he has been terrible throughout the season. Both teams have similar bullpens, so I will focus on the first 5 innings of the game, where the Mariners have the huge advantage, so I will take the Seattle Mariners on the runline in the first 5 innings of this game.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Seattle Mariners F5 -0.5