Rockies vs Reds Prediction 4/30/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Rockies vs Reds prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, April 30th at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Colorado Rockies Betting Preview

The Colorado Rockies are 14-17 this season after they split the first two games in this series by scores of 2-7 and 13-2. In game two, Colorado scored the first 13 runs in the game and they cruised to the easy victory. The Rockies recorded 15 hits in the game and they were led by Sullivan and Goodman, who both had three RBIs. Sugano allowed four hits and zero earned runs over 5.1 innings for the win, while Herget allowed two earned runs in relief. Prior to this series, Colorado swept the Mets in three games, but lost two out of three against the Padres before that. 

This season, Colorado has a 4.12 ERA with a 1.37 WHIP and a .264 opponent batting average, while they have scored 133 runs with a .254 batting average and a .322 on base percentage. Mickey Moniak has led the Rockies with eight home runs and 16 RBIs, while TJ Rumfield has added three home runs and 16 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Colorado is Michael Lorenzen, who is 2-2 with a 5.97 ERA and a 1.85 WHIP over 28.2 innings pitched this season. 

Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview

The Cincinnati Reds are 19-11 this year after they lost game two by a score of 13-2 last night. Cincinnati had plenty of hits, but didn’t score until the ninth inning in the ugly loss. The Reds recorded 10 hits in the game and they were led by Benson, who went 1-1 with one home run and two RBIs. Williamson allowed four hits and four earned runs over 3.0 innings for the loss, while Franco allowed three earned runs in relief. Prior to this series, Cincinnati won two out of three against the Tigers and two out of three against the Rays. 

This season, Cincinnati has a 4.02 ERA with a 1.43 WHIP and a .246 opponent batting average, while they have scored 127 runs with a .220 batting average and a .310 on base percentage. Sal Stewart has led the Reds with nine home runs and 29 RBIs, while Elly De La Cruz has added 10 home runs and 24 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Andrew Abbott, who is 0-2 with a 6.59 ERA and a 1.78 WHIP over 28.2 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Cincinnati Reds will win

• The Reds have won each of their last nine games against the Rockies at Great American Ball Park following a home loss.
• The Rockies have lost each of their last eight Thursday games against National League opponents.
• The Rockies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven Thursday games as underdogs against National League opponents.
• The Reds have covered the run line in eight of their last 10 games as home favorites against the Rockies following a home loss.
• The Reds have led after 5 innings in three of their last four games.

Why the Colorado Rockies will win

• The Rockies have won four of their last five games as underdogs.
• The Reds have lost each of their last four day games against National League opponents.
• The Reds have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight day games against National League opponents.
• The Rockies have covered the run line in seven of their last eight day games following a road win.
• The Rockies have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Reds have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four day games against National League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Reds’ last five games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Four of the Rockies’ last five games as underdogs against NL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last four games between the Rockies and Reds.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rockies’ last three day games against NL Central opponents.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

• Tyler Stephenson has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances with the Reds as favorites against the Rockies.
• Tyler Stephenson has hit at least one home run in three of his last four home appearances against the Rockies after playing the previous day.

Colorado Rockies Player Prop Facts

• Edouard Julien has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances with the Rockies as underdogs.
• Hunter Goodman has hit at least one home run in each of his last two appearances after playing the previous day.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Reds rank 28th in the league for strikeouts this season (227).
• The Reds are one of only four teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and home runs this season.
• The Rockies rank 4th in the league for doubles this season (55).
• The Rockies rank 27th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.263).

Rockies vs Reds Prediction 

Colorado was able to tie this series at one with a blowout win on Wednesday night and they have won four of their last five games. The Rockies are 7-11 on the road this year, while the Reds are 9-8 at home. Cincinnati has lost two of their last three games and they have allowed 8+ runs in three of their last five. The Reds are starting Abbott, who has allowed 17 earned runs over his last 11.2 innings, while Lorenzen has allowed four earned runs over his last 12.0 innings. We have seen some concerning starts from Abbott, so give me the Rockies once again here.

David Racey's Pick: Rockies ML