Jul 6, 2025; Washington, District of Columbia, USA; Boston Red Sox shortstop Trevor Story (10) points to the sky after hitting a two run home run against the Washington Nationals during the first inning at Nationals Park. Mandatory Credit: Rafael Suanes-Imagn Images

Rockies vs Red Sox Prediction 07/07/2025 Picks

Pick details

Colorado (21-69) vs Boston (46-45)

July 7, 2025 at 07:10 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Boston -1.5 — Over/Under: +9.5

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a Rockies vs Red Sox prediction for this MLB game on Monday, July 7th at Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Colorado Rockies Betting Preview
The Colorado Rockies are 21-69 this year after they lost two out of three against the White Sox by scores of 2-3, 3-10, and 6-4. In their game three loss, Colorado trailed 4-2 in the fifth inning, but they scored the final two runs in the game for the win. The Rockies recorded eight hits in the game and they were led by Moniak, who went 3-4 with one home run and three RBIs in the win. Colorado started Dollander, who allowed five hits and three earned runs over 3.2 innings, while Agnos picked up the win and Halvorsen got the save. 

Prior to that series, the Rockies lost two out of three against the Astros and two out of three against the Brewers. Colorado has lost nine of their last twelve games and they are last in the NL West standings. The Colorado pitching staff has a 5.51 ERA with a 1.56 WHIP and a .292 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 321 runs with a .231 batting average and a .292 on base percentage this season. Hunter Goodman has led Colorado with 16 home runs and 50 RBIs, while Mickey Moniak has added 13 home runs and 32 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Colorado is Austin Gomber, who is 0-1 with a 5.49 ERA and a 1.53 WHIP over 19.2 innings pitched this year. 

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview
The Boston Red Sox are 46-45 this season after they won all three games against Washington by scores of 11-2, 10-3, and 6-4. In their game three win, Boston jumped out to a 4-0 lead in the first inning and they were able to lead the rest of the way for the victory. The Red Sox recorded 12 hits in the game and they were led by Story, who went 1-4 with one home run and two RBIs in the win. Boston started Crochet, who allowed nine hits and two earned runs over 5.0 innings for the win, while Hicks picked up the save. 

Prior to that series, the Red Sox won two out of three against the Reds, but lost two out of three against the Blue Jays before that. Boston has won five of their last six games and they are currently fourth in the AL East standings. The Boston pitching staff has a 3.96 ERA with a 1.33 WHIP and a .249 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 448 runs with a .254 batting average and a .325 on base percentage this season. Wilyer Abreu has led Boston with 17 home runs and 49 RBIs, while Trevor Story has added 14 home runs and 53 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Richard Fitts, who is 0-3 with a 4.50 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP over 28.0 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Red Sox will beat the Rockies
The Rockies have lost each of their last 10 games against AL East opponents following a win.
The Red Sox have won six of their last seven home games after playing the previous day.
The Rockies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 games against AL East opponents following a win.
The Red Sox have covered the run line in six of their last seven home games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
The Rockies have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six road games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
The Rockies have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three games at Fenway Park against American League opponents that held a winning record.
The Red Sox have won the first inning in three of their last four games against National League opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts
Each of the Red Sox’s last four games as favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
Five of the Rockies’ last six games as underdogs against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the Rockies’ last 10 games as underdogs against American League opponents.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Red Sox’s last eight games at Fenway Park.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts
Jarren Duran has recorded at least one Double in each of the Red Sox’s last four night games against opponents that held a losing record.
Ceddanne Rafaela has hit a home run in each of the Red Sox’s last three games at Fenway Park against opponents that held a losing record.
Jarren Duran has recorded at least one hit in each of the Red Sox’s last 10 games as favorites.

Colorado Rockies Player Prop Facts
Austin Gomber has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last nine appearances with the Rockies as road underdogs.
Tyler Freeman has recorded at least one hit in 18 of his last 19 appearances in night games.
Kris Bryant has hit a home run in two of his three previous appearances at Fenway Park against AL East opponents that held a winning record.

Rockies vs Red Sox Prediction 
Boston comes into this series after sweeping the Nationals over the weekend and they have to take advantage of playing a lesser team here. The Red Sox are 25-20 at home this year, while the Rockies are 11-33 on the road. Colorado did get a win on Sunday afternoon, but they have been one of the worst teams in baseball all year. Boston is starting Fitts, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts, but doesn’t go very deep into games. Colorado is starting Gomber, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts. We know Fitts won’t go more than four innings most likely, but I still like Boston -1.5 here. 

David Racey's Pick: Red Sox -1.5

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