Red Sox vs Rangers Prediction 9/17/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Red Sox vs Rangers prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, September 17th at Globe Life Field in Arlington, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 82-70 this year after they lost the first two games by scores of 2-4 and 3-7. In game two, Boston led 3-2 in the fifth inning, but went scoreless over the last four innings for the loss. The Red Sox recorded three hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Contreras, who went 1-3 with one home run and two RBIs. Bennett allowed eight hits and three earned runs over 4.2 innings, while Miller picked up the loss in relief. Prior to this series, Boston won two out of three against the Royals, but lost two out of three against the Angels before that. 

This season, Boston has a 3.61 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .243 opponent batting average, while they have scored 668 runs with a .247 batting average and a .321 on base percentage. Willson Contreras has led the Red Sox with 27 home runs and 81 RBIs, while Jarren Duran has added 20 home runs and 69 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Sonny Gray, who is 17-5 with a 2.76 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP over 156.2 innings pitched this year. 

Texas Rangers Betting Preview

The Texas Rangers are 76-76 this season after they won game two by a score of 7-3 on Wednesday night. Texas tied the game at three in the fifth inning and added three in the seventh + one in the eighth in the win. The Rangers recorded 13 hits in the game and they were led by Duran, who went 1-4 with two RBIs. Gore allowed two hits and three earned runs over 4.0 innings, while Eovaldi picked up the win in relief. Prior to this series, Texas won two out of three against the Diamondbacks, but lost two out of three against the Mariners before that. 

This season, Texas has a 4.30 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .249 opponent batting average, while they have scored 635 runs with a .244 batting average and a .318 on base percentage. Jake Burger has led the Rangers with 26 home runs and 84 RBIs, while Ezequiel Duran has added 17 home runs and 82 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Texas is Tyler Alexander, who is 5-2 with a 3.38 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP over 66.2 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Texas Rangers will win

• The Rangers have won each of their last six games as home underdogs against AL opponents.
• The Red Sox have lost each of their last three games as favorites against AL West opponents.
• The Rangers have covered the run line in each of their last six games against AL opponents.
• The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight Thursday night games as favorites against AL opponents.
• The Rangers have led after 3 innings in six of their last eight night games against the Red Sox.
• The Red Sox have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five night games.

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

• The Red Sox have won each of their last six Thursday games against AL opponents.
• The Red Sox have covered the run line in four of their last five games against the Rangers following a road loss.
• The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in six of their last eight home games following a home win.
• The Red Sox have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games as road favorites against AL opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Rangers’ last four games as underdogs against the Red Sox have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Five of the Red Sox’s last six games as favorites against the Rangers have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in four of the Red Sox’s last five games as road favorites.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in three of the Rangers’ last four games against AL opponents.

Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts

• Corey Seager has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances with the Rangers as home underdogs against AL opponents.
• Ezequiel Duran has recorded at least one hit in each of the Rangers’ last nine games as home underdogs.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Willson Contreras has hit at least one home run in each of the Red Sox’s last two games as favorites against the Rangers.
• Sonny Gray has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last six road appearances against AL West opponents.
• Trevor Story has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances with the Red Sox as road favorites against AL opponents.
• Sonny Gray has recorded a win in each of his last five road appearances against AL West opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Rangers rank 24th in the league for RBIs this season (614).
• The Rangers rank 7th in the league for walks allowed this season (461).
• The Red Sox rank 3rd in the league for walks allowed this season (438).
• The Red Sox rank 3rd in the league for home runs allowed this season (147).

Red Sox vs Rangers Prediction 

Texas comes into this matchup looking for the series sweep and they have won four games in a row. The Rangers are 42-32 at home this year, while the Red Sox are 44-33 on the road. Boston has split their last four games and they have scored three or fewer in three of their last five. The Red Sox are starting Gray, who has allowed 3, 0, 2, 4, and 0 earned runs in his last five starts, while Alexander will be an opener. Take the Red Sox to win here.

David Racey's Pick: Red Sox ML