Rays vs Red Sox Prediction 7/19/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Rays vs Red Sox prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, July 19th at Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays are 56-41 this season after they lost the first three games in this series by scores of 0-10, 3-5, and 6-7. In game three, Tampa Bay led 6-3 in the seventh inning, but their bullpen fell apart for the disappointing loss. The Rays recorded 10 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by DeLuca, who went 2-5 with one home run and one RBI. Seymour allowed two hits and three earned runs over 3.0 innings, while Cleavinger blew the save and got the loss. Prior to this series, Tampa Bay won two out of three against the Mariners and split four games with the Yankees. 

This season, Tampa Bay has a 3.89 ERA with a 1.18 WHIP and a .234 opponent batting average, while they have scored 434 runs with a .257 batting average and a .332 on base percentage. Jonathan Aranda has led the Rays with 14 home runs and 64 RBIs, while Junior Caminero has added 29 home runs and 60 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Tampa Bay is Shane McClanahan, who is 8-5 with a 2.83 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP over 86.0 innings pitched this season. 

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 49-48 this year after they won game three by a score of 7-6 on Saturday. Boston blew a 3-2 lead in the fourth inning, but they scored four runs in the seventh to get the win. The Red Sox recorded six hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Abreu, who went 2-3 with two home runs and three RBIs. Sandoval allowed nine hits and four earned runs over 5.0 innings, while Watson got the win and Chapman picked up another save. Prior to this series, Boston swept the Mets in three games and swept the White Sox in three games. 

This season, Boston has a 3.56 ERA with a 1.21 WHIP and a .237 opponent batting average, while they have scored 407 runs with a .244 batting average and a .315 on base percentage. Willson Contreras has led the Red Sox with 21 home runs and 62 RBIs, while Jarren Duran has added 13 home runs and 48 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Sonny Gray, who is 11-1 with a 2.54 ERA and a 1.10 WHIP over 95.2 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

• The Red Sox have won each of their last 12 games.
• The Rays have lost eight of their last nine road games against AL East opponents.
• The Red Sox have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games against American League opponents following a win.
• The Rays have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games as underdogs.
• The Rays have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four games.
• The Rays have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six road games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win

• The Red Sox have lost each of their last four Sunday day games as favorites against American League opponents.
• The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight Sunday games at Fenway Park.
• The Rays have covered the run line in 11 of their last 12 games at Fenway Park against AL East opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the Rays’ last 10 day games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Four of the Red Sox’s last five day games as favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in eight of Sonny Gray’s last nine appearances as a starter.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Rays’ last four day games against American League opponents.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Wilyer Abreu has hit two home runs in each of the Red Sox’s last two games against the Rays.
• Sonny Gray has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last 10 Sunday appearances against teams that held a winning record.
• Ceddanne Rafaela has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine home appearances against the Rays after playing the previous day.
• Sonny Gray has recorded a win in nine of his last 12 appearances.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

• Junior Caminero has hit a home run in five of the Rays’ last nine road games.
• Shane McClanahan has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances against the Red Sox.
• Ben Williamson has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 Sunday appearances.

Rays vs Red Sox Prediction 

Boston continued their strong play with a comeback win on Saturday afternoon and they have scored 22 runs in their last three games. The Red Sox are 20-27 at home this year, while the Rays are 21-26 on the road. Tampa Bay has lost four games in a row and they have allowed 30 runs in those four games. The Rays are starting McClanahan, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four straight outings, while Gray has allowed one earned run or fewer in four straight starts. Take the under in this matchup.

David Racey's Pick: Under 8.5