Rays vs Mets Prediction 6/14/25 MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Rays vs Mets prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, June 14th at Citi Field in New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays are 37-32 this season after they won game one by a score of 7-5 on Friday night. Tampa Bay trailed 5-1 in the fifth inning, but they scored six runs in the sixth inning to steal the win. The Rays recorded 13 hits in the game, and they were led by Jansen and Mangum, who both had two RBIs in the win. Tampa Bay started Bradley, who allowed four hits and zero earned runs over 4.0 innings, while Orze got the win and Fairbanks got the save. 

Prior to this series, the Rays lost two out of three against the Red Sox, but did win two out of three against the Marlins before that. Tampa Bay has won three of its last five games, and they are currently third in the AL East standings. The Tampa Bay pitching staff has a 3.49 ERA with a 1.17 WHIP and a .235 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 308 runs with a .247 batting average and a .312 on-base percentage this season. Junior Caminero has led Tampa Bay with 15 home runs and 41 RBIs, while Brandon Lowe has added 13 home runs and 36 RBIs for the Rays this year. The projected starting pitcher for Tampa Bay is Drew Rasmussen, who is 5-4 with a 2.22 ERA and a 0.90 WHIP over 69.0 innings pitched this season. 

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 45-25 this year after they lost game one in this series on Friday night. New York led 5-1 in the fifth inning, but their bullpen fell apart in the sixth inning, for the loss. The Mets recorded seven hits in the game, and they were led by Marte, who went 3-4 with three RBIs in the loss. New York started Holmes, who allowed three hits and one earned run over 5.0 innings, while Blackburn and Kranick combined to allow six earned runs in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Mets swept the Nationals and swept the Rockies in three games. New York has won six of their last seven games, and they are currently first in the NL East standings. The New York pitching staff has a 2.86 ERA with a 1.23 WHIP and a .227 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 324 runs with a .248 batting average and a .332 on-base percentage this season. Pete Alonso has led New York with 17 home runs and 63 RBIs, while Francisco Lindor has added 14 home runs and 38 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Tylor Megill, who is 5-4 with a 3.76 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP over 64.2 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Mets will beat the Rays 

• The Rays have lost each of their last six road games following a road win.
• The Mets have won seven of their last eight home games against AL East opponents.
• The Rays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games against National League opponents following a win.
• The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last five games following a loss.
• The Rays have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four games as road underdogs.
• The Rays have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four games as road underdogs.

Why the Rays will beat the Mets 

• The Rays have won five of their last six games as underdogs against the Mets.
• The Mets have lost five of their last seven games as favorites against American League opponents.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 14 games as home favorites against AL East opponents following a home loss.
• The Rays have covered the run line in 12 of their last 13 road games against teams that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Five of the Mets’ last six games as favorites against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Four of the Rays’ last five day games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Rays’ last eight games as road underdogs.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the last seven games between the Rays and Mets at Citi Field.

Rays vs Mets Prediction 

Tampa Bay was able to jump all over New York’s bullpen in game one of this series on Friday night, and they have scored at least seven runs in two of their last four games. The Rays are 14-12 on the road this year, while the Mets are 27-8 at home. New York has scored at least five runs in four of their last five games, but it will face Rasmussen, who has allowed a total of two earned runs in his last five outings. The Mets will start Megill, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts. New York is the much better team in my opinion, but Rasmussen has been one of the best pitchers in the MLB over the last few weeks. Take the under here. 

David Racey's Pick: Under 7.5