May 6, 2026; Bronx, New York, USA; Texas Rangers shortstop Corey Seager (5) loses his bat while swinging during the sixth inning against the New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Vincent Carchietta-Imagn Images
Vincent Carchietta-Imagn Images

Rangers vs Yankees Prediction 5/7/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Texas Rangers New York Yankees
Team Records 17-19 25-12
Spread +1.5 -163 -1.5 135
Moneyline +123 -149
Total Over 8.5 (-112) Under 8.5 (-108)
Where Yankee Stadium, Bronx, New York
When Thursday, May 7, 2026
Time 12:35 PM EDT
TV ESPN Unlmtd

In this article we will formulate a Rangers vs Yankees prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, May 7th at Yankee Stadium in Bronx, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Texas Rangers Betting Preview

The Texas Rangers are 17-19 this season after they split the first two games in this series by scores of 4-7 and 6-1. In game two, Texas scored the first six runs in the game and they were able to cruise to the easy win. The Rangers recorded eight hits in the game and they were led by Seager, who went 2-5 with one home run and two RBIs. Eovaldi allowed three hits and one earned run over 8.0 innings for the win, while Latz pitched the ninth. Prior to this series, Texas lost two out of three against the Tigers and two out of three against the Yankees. 

This season, Texas has a 3.69 ERA with a 1.21 WHIP and a .231 opponent batting average, while they have scored 137 runs with a .237 batting average and a .316 on base percentage. Jake Burger has led the Rangers with six home runs and 21 RBIs, while Corey Seager has added seven home runs and 19 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Texas is MacKenzie Gore, who is 2-2 with a 4.67 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP over 34.2 innings pitched this season. 

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 25-12 this year after they lost game two by a score of 6-1 last night. New York cut the deficit to 6-1 in the sixth inning, but couldn’t get any closer in the loss. The Yankees recorded three hits in the game and they were led by Judge, who went 1-4 with one home run and one RBI. Warren allowed seven hits and six earned runs over 4.0 innings for the loss, while De los Santos allowed one hit over 3.1 relief innings. Prior to this series, New York swept the Orioles in four games and won two out of three against the Rangers. 

This season, New York has a 3.07 ERA with a 1.15 WHIP and a .222 opponent batting average, while they have scored 200 runs with a .240 batting average and a .334 on base percentage. Aaron Judge has led the Yankees with 15 home runs and 28 RBIs, while Ben Rice has added 12 home runs and 27 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Ryan Weathers, who is 2-2 with a 3.03 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP over 38.2 innings pitched this year. 

Why the New York Yankees will win

  • The Yankees have won each of their last eight games as favorites against the Rangers following a home loss.
  • The Rangers have lost seven of their last eight games at Yankee Stadium following a win.
  • The Yankees have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games at Yankee Stadium.
  • The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games following a win.
  • The Rangers have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four day games against American League opponents.
  • The Yankees have led after 5 innings in four of their last five day games at Yankee Stadium against American League opponents.

Why the Texas Rangers will win

  • The Yankees have lost five of their last six day games against AL West opponents.
  • The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as home favorites against AL West opponents.
  • The Rangers have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games as underdogs against the Yankees following a win.

Total Runs Facts

  • Nine of the Rangers’ last 10 games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Five of the Yankees’ last six games as favorites against the Rangers have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Yankees’ last six games as home favorites against AL West opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 10 of the Rangers’ last 11 games as road underdogs.

Rangers vs Yankees Prediction 

New York finally had their winning streak snapped on Wednesday night, but they have scored at least seven runs in four of their last five games. The Yankees are 13-6 at home this year, while the Rangers are 10-11 on the road. Texas has lost three of their last four games and they have allowed seven runs in two of their last three. The Rangers are starting Gore, who has allowed 3, 3, and 5 earned runs in his last three starts, while the Yankees are going with Weathers, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three straight. Take the Yankees -1.5 here.

David Racey's Pick: Yankees -1.5

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