Jun 11, 2025; Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA; Texas Rangers right fielder Adolis Garcia Celebrates after hitting a solo home run against the Pittsburgh Pirates during the fourth inning at PNC Park. Mandatory Credit: Philip G. Pavely-Imagn Images

Rangers vs Orioles Prediction 06/23/2025 Picks

Pick details

Texas (38-40) vs Baltimore (33-44)

June 23, 2025 at 06:35 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Baltimore -1.5 — Over/Under: +9.5

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a Rangers vs Orioles prediction for this MLB game on Monday, June 23rd at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Texas Rangers Betting Preview
The Texas Rangers are 38-40 this year after they won two out of three against Pittsburgh by scores of 6-2, 3-2, and 3-8. In their game three loss, Texas led 2-0 in the second inning, but they allowed the next seven runs in the loss. The Rangers recorded six hits in the game and they were led by Jung, who went 1-4 with two RBIs in the loss. Texas started Leiter, who allowed five hits and three earned runs over four innings for the loss, while Boushley allowed five earned runs in relief. 

Prior to that series, the Rangers lost all three against the Royals, but did sweep the White Sox in three games before that. Texas has lost four of their last six games and they are currently battling with the Angels for third in the AL West. The Texas pitching staff has a 3.23 ERA with a 1.15 WHIP and a .225 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 282 runs with a .228 batting average and a .294 on base percentage this season. Adolis Garcia has led Texas with nine home runs and 37 RBIs, while Wyatt Langford has added 13 home runs and 31 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Texas is Patrick Corbin, who is 4-6 with a 3.91 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP over 71.1 innings pitched this year. 

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview
The Baltimore Orioles are 33-44 this season after they lost two out of three against the Yankees by scores of 5-3, 0-9, and 2-4. In their game three loss, Baltimore led 2-0 in the first inning, but they went scoreless over the final eight innings for the loss. The Orioles recorded seven hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by O’Hearn and Cowser, who both had one RBI in the loss. Baltimore started Kremer, who allowed five hits and one earned run over 5.2 innings, while Baker allowed two earned runs in relief for the loss. 

Prior to that series, the Orioles split four games with the Rays and won all three against the Angels. Baltimore has split their last six games and they are currently last in the AL East standings. The Baltimore pitching staff has a 4.93 ERA with a 1.44 WHIP and a .271 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 304 runs with a .238 batting average and a .305 on base percentage this season. Cedric Mullins has led Baltimore with 12 home runs and 35 RBIs, while Ryan O’Hearn has added 10 home runs and 29 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Trevor Rogers, who is 0-0 with a 3.12 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP over 8.2 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Orioles will beat the Rangers
The Rangers have lost each of their last eight road games against AL East opponents.
The Orioles have won each of their last 10 Monday night games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
The Orioles have covered the run line each of their last 10 Monday night games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 road games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
The Rangers have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three games against American League opponents.
The Rangers have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games against American League opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts
Each of the Orioles’ last four games as favorites against the Rangers have gone OVER the total runs line.
Six of the Rangers’ last seven road games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Rangers’ last nine games as road underdogs against AL East opponents.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Orioles’ last five night games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts
Gary Sanchez has hit a home run in each of his last three appearances against AL West opponents.
Ramon Laureano has recorded a Double in each of his last four home appearances against the Rangers after playing the previous day.
Gary Sanchez has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five appearances with his team as a home favorite against AL opponents.
Gary Sanchez has scored at least one run in each of his last four appearances against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
Trevor Rogers has recorded five or more strikeouts in four of his last five home appearances.
Ryan Mountcastle has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.

Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts
Wyatt Langford has hit a home run in two of the Rangers’ last three games as road underdogs against AL opponents.
Adolis Garcia has recorded at least one RBI in three of the Rangers’ last four games as underdogs against AL opponents.
Adolis Garcia has scored at least one run in each of the Rangers’ last four games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
Patrick Corbin has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last five Monday appearances.
Josh Jung has recorded at least one hit in each of his nine previous appearances against the Orioles.

Matchup/League Facts
The Orioles rank 28th in the league for hits allowed this season (715).
The Orioles rank 27th in the league for walks this season (217).
The Rangers rank 28th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.368).
The Rangers rank T3rd in the league for walks allowed this season (214).

Rangers vs Orioles Prediction 
Texas comes into this matchup after picking up a series win over Pittsburgh, but they have scored three runs or fewer in four of their last five games. The Rangers are 15-24 on the road this year, while the Orioles are 16-19 at home. Baltimore has scored a total of two runs in their last two games and they will face Corbin, who has allowed 4, 3, 2, and 2 earned runs in his last four starts. The Rangers will go against Rogers, who has allowed three earned runs and seven hits over 8.2 innings. I really don’t love how either pitcher has looked recently, but Texas and their offense on the road is a major concern. Take the Orioles here. 

David Racey's Pick: Orioles ML

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