The New York Mets and the Pittsburgh Pirates meet Friday in MLB action from PNC Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Pirates prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The New York Mets will send out David Peterson for the start here and Peterson is 5-3 with a 2.98 ERA and 78 strikeouts this season. In his career, Peterson is 0-0 with a 3.21 ERA and 17 strikeouts against the Pirates. The Pittsburgh Pirates will send out Mitch Keller for the start here and Keller is 1-10 with a 4.02 ERA and 73 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Mets, Keller is 3-2 with a 2.12 ERA and 29 strikeouts.

New York Mets Recap

The New York Mets come into this game looking to build on their 4-0 win over the Atlanta Braves from Thursday’s matchup to improve to 48-34 on the year. After this series, the Mets will head home for a series against the Milwaukee Brewers.

Mets Win Back-To-Back Games

Pete Alonso has 90 hits with 23 doubles, 18 home runs, 65 RBIs and a .292 batting average while Juan Soto has 74 hits with 14 doubles, 19 home runs and 45 RBIs on the year. Francisco Lindor has 85 hits with 13 stolen bases along with 14 doubles, 16 home runs and 43 RBIs while Mark Vientos has 6 home runs, 21 RBIs, but 49 strikeouts so far this season. Brandon Nimmo has also added 73 hits with 14 doubles and 15 home runs and 42 RBIs this season. Luis Torrens has also chipped in 9 doubles and Luisangel Acuna has 11 stolen bases as well this season.

Why the New York Mets will win

The Mets have won each of their last 14 games as favorites against National League opponents.
The Pirates have lost four of their last five games against National League opponents.
The favorites have covered the run line in eight of the Mets’ last nine games.
The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games as underdogs.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

Francisco Lindor has hit a home run in each of the Mets’ last two road games against NL opponents.
Juan Soto has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
Jesse Winker has recorded a Double in four of his last five appearances with his team as a favorite against the Pirates.
Juan Soto ranks 6th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.394) this season.

Pittsburgh Pirates Recap

The Pittsburgh Pirates come into this game looking to rebound from a 4-2 loss at the hands of the Milwaukee Brewers last time out to drop to 32-50 on the year. After this series, the Pirates will head home for a series against the St. Louis Cardinals.

Pirates Drop Back-To-Back Games

Bryan Reynolds has 69 hits with 13 doubles, 8 home runs and 39 RBIs while also posting 85 strikeouts so far this season. Oneil Cruz has posted a team-high 13 home runs and 31 RBIs with 26 stolen bases while Isiah Kiner-Falefa has 63 hits with 10 doubles and 9 stolen bases. Emmanuel Valdez also has a pair of triples as well this season. Tommy Pham has 6 doubles and Andrew McCutchen has 65 hits with 13 doubles and KeBryan Hayes has 63 hits with 22 RBIs and 9 stolen bases.

Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win

The Pirates have won each of their last seven home games against NL East opponents following a loss.
The Mets have lost seven of their last nine games as road favorites following a win.
The Pirates have covered the run line in each of their last seven home games against NL East opponents following a loss.
The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five road games against NL Central opponents following a win.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts

Bryan Reynolds has hit a home run in each of the Pirates’ last two night games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
Bryan Reynolds has recorded a Double in three of the Pirates’ last four games.
Mitch Keller has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances against the Mets.
Isiah Kiner-Falefa has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 home appearances after not playing the previous day.
Mitch Keller has recorded a win in each of his three previous home appearances against the Mets.
Oneil Cruz ranks 2nd in the league in Steals (26) this season.

Total Runs Facts

Each of the Pirates’ last five games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
Five of the Mets’ last six road games against NL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.

New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction

I’m on the Pirates here. The Mets won a couple of games at home against the Braves, but they’ve been a less effective team on the road this season and two wins doesn’t excuse how poorly the Mets had been playing over the last little bit. The Pirates have been wildly inconsistent offensively, but they are at home here and I think they have some value here. Give me Pittsburgh.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates +135