Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction MLB Picks 7/9/24

The Pittsburgh Pirates and the Milwaukee Brewers meet Tuesday in MLB action from American Family Field. Here’s a Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers prediction. This will be the first installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game. We will examine:

The Milwaukee Brewers recent form and player performance

The Pittsburgh Pirates recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Milwaukee Brewers

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Pittsburgh Pirates

Recent betting trends in games played between the Brewers and Pirates

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Brewers vs Pirates game

Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview

The Pirates took on the New York Mets in a lengthy weekend series. Pittsburgh won 14-2 Friday then fell 5-2 and 3-2 in the next pair. On Monday in the finale game four, the Pirates would end up scoring five in the sixth inning during an 8-2 win. Starter Mitch Keller was great with 8.0 innings and two earned on seven hits.

Josh Fleming will open up a bullpen game for the Pirates on Tuesday. Martin Perez is set for Wednesday, and Paul Skenes will be the starter for the Thursday finale. 

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

Over on the Brewers’ side, they played the Los Angeles Dodgers over the weekend. Milwaukee lost 8-5 Friday and 5-3 in game two, but staved off the sweep with a 9-2 win in the finale. In that victory the Brewers got 12 team hits and 4.1 clean frames from starter Dallas Keuchel.

Colin Rea will take the starter gig for the Brewers on Tuesday. This year Rea is 8-2 with a 3.34 ERA in 17 games (15 starts). In his career Rea is 22-16 with a 4.39 ERA in 79 games (64 starts).

Pirates vs Brewers Pick Injury Notes

Pirates SP Johan Oviedo (elbow) increased his throwing distance to 90 feet at the beginning of the month.

Brewers RP Devin Williams (back) is scheduled to throw live batting practice Tuesday.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Pirates’ last four night games against NL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Three of the Brewers’ last four home games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Pirates’ last eight games against National League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Brewers’ last three night games against National League opponents.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

• William Contreras has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last three appearances against the Pirates after not playing the previous day.
• Christian Yelich has recorded at least one Single in 11 of his last 12 home appearances against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• Christian Yelich has scored at least one run in 10 of the Brewers’ last 11 night games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Gary Sanchez has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances against the Pirates.
• Christian Yelich has recorded at least one hit in 11 of his last 12 home appearances against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• Brice Turang has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Brewers’ last three games against opponents that held a losing record.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts

• Ke’Bryan Hayes has recorded two or more total bases in four of his last five road appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Ke’Bryan Hayes has recorded two hits in four of his last five road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Connor Joe has recorded an RBI in each of his last three appearances against the Brewers at American Family Field.
• Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one Single in six of the Pirates’ last seven night games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Andrew McCutchen has scored a run in five of his last six road appearances against NL Central opponents.
• Martin Perez has recorded four or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances in night games.
• Connor Joe has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances at American Family Field against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction

I’ll try the Brewers in this one. Rea had a rough time back on June 21 versus the Padres with 5.1 innings and five earned runs. Since then Rea has looked much better with 12.1 combined innings and two earned runs over two starts, winning both. I think he’ll keep rolling Tuesday.

Milwaukee hasn’t had any issues scoring lately. They’ve hit three or more runs in a whopping 17 straight games. With a quality outing from Rea and a handful of scores here, the Brewers should be in great shape.

Andrew Jett's Pick: Milwaukee Brewers -164