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Pirates vs Tigers Prediction 06/17/2025 Picks
Pick details
Pittsburgh (29-44) vs Detroit (46-27)
June 17, 2025 at 06:40 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Detroit -200 — Over/Under: 8
In this article we will formulate a Pirates vs Tigers prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, June 17th at Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 29-44 this season after they lost three out of four against the Cubs by scores of 2-3, 2-1, 1-2, and 2-3. In their game four loss, Pittsburgh led 2-0 in the top of the first, but they went scoreless over the last nine innings to lose in extra innings. The Pirates recorded just four hits in the game and they were led by Horwitz and Canario, who both had one RBI in the loss. Pittsburgh started Keller, who allowed three hits and two earned runs over 6.0 innings, while Bednar was charged with the loss.
Prior to that series, the Pirates won two out of three against the Marlins and all three against the Phillies. Pittsburgh has lost four of their last six games and they are currently last in the NL Central standings. The Pittsburgh pitching staff has a 3.69 ERA with a 1.19 WHIP and a .231 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 232 runs with a .225 batting average and a .302 on base percentage this season. Oneil Cruz has led Pittsburgh with 13 home runs and 30 RBIs, while Bryan Reynolds has added eight home runs and 39 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Pittsburgh is Bailey Falter, who is 5-3 with a 3.36 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP over 75.0 innings pitched this season.
Detroit Tigers Betting Preview
The Detroit Tigers are 46-27 this year after they lost two out of three against Cincinnati by scores of 11-5, 1-11, and 4-8. In their game three loss, Detroit led 4-2 in the eighth inning, but their bullpen fell apart and allowed the last six runs in the game for the loss. The Tigers recorded nine hits and they committed three errors in the game, while they were led by Jones, Torres, Greene, and Perez, who all had one RBI in the loss. Detroit used Gipson-Long as a bulk pitcher, who allowed three hits and one earned run over 3.0 innings, while Vest allowed three earned runs in relief for the loss.
Prior to that series, the Tigers won two out of three against the Orioles and two out of three against the Cubs. Detroit has won four of their last seven games and they are currently first in the AL Central standings. The Detroit pitching staff has a 3.35 ERA with a 1.19 WHIP and a .233 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 351 runs with a .251 batting average and a .321 on base percentage this season. Spencer Torkelson has led Detroit with 16 home runs and 47 RBIs, while Riley Greene has added 14 home runs and 49 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Casey Mize, who is 6-2 with a 2.95 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP over 61.0 innings pitched this year
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Why the Tigers will beat the Pirates
The Tigers have won each of their last five night games against NL Central opponents following a loss.
The Pirates have lost five of their last six games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
The Pirates have failed to cover the run line each of their last six games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
The Tigers have covered the run line in seven of their last eight home games against National League opponents following a loss.
The Tigers have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games at Comerica Park against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
The Pirates have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last seven games against AL Central opponents.
Why the Pirates will beat the Tigers
The Pirates have won each of their last five games as underdogs against the Tigers following a road loss.
The Tigers have lost four of their last six games as favorites following a home loss.
The Pirates have covered the run line in 17 of their last 18 games as underdogs after going to extra innings.
The Tigers have failed to cover the run line each of their last three games at Comerica Park against teams that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
Eight of the Pirates’ last nine games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Four of the Tigers’ last five games as favorites against the Pirates have gone OVER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Pirates’ last seven night games.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Tigers’ last six night games against National League opponents.
Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts
Casey Mize has recorded six or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances with the Tigers as favorites against NL opponents.
Wenceel Perez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
Casey Mize has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances at Comerica Park.
Matt Vierling has hit a home run in each of the Tigers’ last three games at Comerica Park against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
Riley Greene has scored at least one run in each of the Tigers’ last six games at Comerica Park against NL opponents that held a losing record.
Jake Rogers has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five appearances against NL Central opponents at Comerica Park.
Colt Keith has recorded a Double in four of his last five appearances after not playing the previous day.
Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts
Oneil Cruz has hit a home run in each of the Pirates’ last two road games against AL opponents.
Isiah Kiner-Falefa has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 road appearances against AL Central opponents.
Isiah Kiner-Falefa has scored at least one run in each of his last four appearances at Comerica Park.
Ke’Bryan Hayes has recorded at least one RBI in three of his last four appearances with the Pirates as road underdogs against AL Central opponents.
Andrew McCutchen has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against the Tigers.
Pirates vs Tigers Prediction
Detroit comes into this matchup after a very rare series loss at home, but they are still one of the top teams in the MLB right now. The Tigers are 24-11 at home this season, while the Pirates are 10-25 on the road. Pittsburgh pitched well in their last series against the Cubs, but their offense only scored seven runs in four games. The Pirates are starting Falter, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. The Tigers are going with Mize, who has also allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five. Both of these pitchers are hot right now and the Pirates offense is not good. Take the under here.