Phillies vs Nationals Prediction 6/25/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Phillies vs Nationals prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, June 25th at Nationals Park in Washington, DC. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 44-36 this season after they won two of the first three games in this series by scores of 1-4, 14-9, and 5-4. In game three, Philadelphia trailed 4-3 in the later innings, but they scored two runs in the ninth for the win. The Phillies recorded eight hits in the game and they were led by Hill, who went 1-1 with one home run and two RBIs. Nola allowed three hits and two earned runs over 5.0 innings, while Johnson got the win and Duran picked up the save. Prior to this series, Philadelphia won two out of three against the Mets and two out of three against the Marlins. 

This season, Philadelphia has a 4.12 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .256 opponent batting average, while they have scored 349 runs with a .234 batting average and a .300 on base percentage. Kyle Schwarber has led the Phillies with 29 home runs and 52 RBIs, while Bryce Harper has added 17 home runs and 44 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Cristopher Sanchez, who is 9-3 with a 1.80 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP over 105.0 innings pitched this season. 

Washington Nationals Betting Preview

The Washington Nationals are 41-40 this year after they lost game three by a score of 4-5 on Wednesday night. Washington led 2-0 in the second inning and 4-3 in the sixth, but their bullpen blew the lead for another tough loss. The Nationals recorded six hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Mead, who went 1-2 with one home run and two RBIs. Palmquist allowed two hits and one earned run over 3.1 innings, while Lovelady blew the save and picked up the loss. Prior to this series, Washington lost two out of three against the Rays, but did win two out of three against the Royals before that. 

This season, Washington has a 4.69 ERA with a 1.39 WHIP and a .258 opponent batting average, while they have scored 433 runs with a .247 batting average and a .321 on base percentage. CJ Abrams has led the Nationals with 17 home runs and 57 RBIs, while James Wood has added 20 home runs and 49 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Washington is Cade Cavalli, who is 4-4 with a 4.07 ERA and a 1.46 WHIP over 77.1 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Washington Nationals will win

• The Phillies have lost five of their last six games following a road win.
• The Nationals have won three of their last four home games against the Phillies following a loss.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as favorites against the Nationals following a win.
• The Nationals have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games against the Phillies following a loss.
• The Phillies have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four games against opponents that held a winning record.
• The Phillies have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five Thursday night games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Phillies have lost the first inning in three of their last four games against opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

• The Phillies have won nine of their last 10 night games at Nationals Park following a road win.
• The Nationals have lost six of their last seven home games against NL East opponents.
• The Phillies have covered the run line in three of their last four games as favorites.

Total Runs Facts

• Five of the Nationals’ last six games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Eleven of the Phillies’ last 14 road games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in seven of the Phillies’ last eight games.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in six of the Nationals’ last seven games as underdogs against NL East opponents.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

• Cade Cavalli has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last four home appearances.
• CJ Abrams has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances.
• Luis Garcia has hit a home run in each of the Nationals’ last four games at Nationals Park against NL opponents that held a winning record.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Kyle Schwarber has hit two or more home runs in three of his last five appearances at Nationals Park against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Trea Turner has recorded two or more hits in each of the Phillies’ last six games as road favorites against the Nationals.
• Cristopher Sanchez has recorded eight strikeouts in each of his last three appearances in night games against NL teams that held a winning record.
• Cristopher Sanchez has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances with the Phillies as favorites against NL opponents.

Phillies vs Nationals Prediction 

Washington comes into this matchup after losing three of their last four games and their bullpen has been awful in games two and three of this series. The Nationals are 17-24 at home this year, while the Phillies are 21-17 on the road. Philadelphia has won four of their last five games and they have scored 5+ runs in all four of those wins. The Phillies are starting Sanchez, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts, while Cavalli has allowed 3+ earned runs in two of his last three outings. Take the Phillies -1.5 here.

David Racey's Pick: Phillies -1.5