Philadelphia Phillies vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction 6/5/25 MLB Picks

The Philadelphia Phillies and Toronto Blue Jays meet Thursday in MLB action at Rogers Centre. Here’s a Philadelphia Phillies vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction. This article will include a Philadelphia Phillies vs Toronto Blue Jays Pick.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 37-24 on the year and play the Pirates, Cubs, and Blue Jays next. The Philadelphia Phillies are batting .256 on the season, have a .32 OBP, and a .405 slugging percentage. The Philadelphia Phillies pitching staff has a 3.96 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP. Trea Turner leads the Philadelphia Phillies with 73 hits and 28 RBI, while Nick Castellanos and Alec Bohm have combined for 127 hits and 52 RBI. 

Jesus Luzardo gets the ball for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he is 5-1 with a 3.58 ERA and 81 strikeouts this season. This will be Luzardo’s first career game against the Toronto Blue Jays.

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 32-29 on the year and play the Twins, Cardinals, and Phillies next. The Toronto Blue Jays are batting .251 on the season, have a .325 OBP, and a .392 slugging percentage. The Toronto Blue Jays’ pitching staff has a 4.03 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP. Bo Bichette leads the Toronto Blue Jays with 71 hits and 33 RBI, while Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Alejandro Kirk have combined for 114 hits and 52 RBI.

Chris Bassitt gets the ball for the Toronto Blue Jays, and he is 5-3 with a 3.80 ERA and 69 strikeouts this season. Bassitt is 4-0 with a 2.36 ERA and 33 strikeouts in his career against the Philadelphia Phillies.

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

• The Phillies have lost seven of their last eight games as favorites against AL East opponents following a road loss.
• The Blue Jays have won each of their last nine Thursday games against National League opponents.
• The Blue Jays have covered the run line in each of their last eight Thursday games as underdogs against National League opponents.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 games as favorites against AL East opponents following a road loss.

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

• The Phillies have won each of their last eight games as favorites against AL East opponents.
• The Blue Jays have lost four of their last five games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last seven games as road favorites against American League opponents following a road loss.
• The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line each of their last three home games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Blue Jays have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three home games.
• The Blue Jays have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last three games.
• The Phillies have won the first inning in three of their last four games as road favorites against American League opponents.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

• Davis Schneider has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances at Rogers Centre against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Davis Schneider has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances at Rogers Centre against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Chris Bassitt has recorded a win in six of his last seven appearances with his team as a home underdog against NL opponents .
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has scored a run in nine of the Blue Jays’ last 10 games at Rogers Centre.
• Chris Bassitt has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last eight appearances with the Blue Jays as underdogs against NL opponents.
• Alejandro Kirk has recorded at least one hit in 17 of his last 18 appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
• Anthony Santander has recorded a Double in three of his last four home appearances against NL East opponents.
• Alejandro Kirk has recorded at least one Single in seven of his last eight appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Trea Turner has hit at least one home run in three of the Phillies’ last four games as favorites against AL opponents.
• Alec Bohm has scored at least one run in each of his last five appearances with the Phillies as favorites against AL East opponents.
• Bryce Harper has recorded at least one RBI in eight of his last 10 appearances with the Phillies as favorites.
• Jesus Luzardo has recorded six or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances with the Phillies as favorites.
• Alec Bohm has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 road appearances.
• Trea Turner has recorded at least one Single in each of the Phillies’ last seven games as favorites against AL East opponents.
• Kyle Schwarber ranks 4th in the league in Home Runs (19) this season.

Philadelphia Phillies vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction

The Phillies are having a rough week, and while Luzardo has been great strikeout-wise, he’s coming off a May where he allowed 43 hits and 21 runs in 34 innings. The Blue Jays are putting together their best week of the season, and while Bassitt has allowed 10 runs in his last nine innings, he has a 2.73 ERA in 33 home innings. The Phillies are still the better team overall, but the Blue Jays are playing the better ball right now. I’ll grab the cheap price with the home team.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Toronto Blue Jays -105