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Philadelphia Phillies vs Houston Astros Prediction 06/24/2025 Picks
Pick details
Philadelphia (47-31) vs Houston (45-33)
June 24, 2025 at 08:10 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Houston -1.5 — Over/Under: +7
In this article, we will formulate a Phillies vs Astros prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, June 24, at Daikin Park in Houston, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies (47-31, 21-17 Away) are in fine form at the moment after winning nine of the previous 11 games. Philly is on a four-series winning streak; the Phillies beat the Chicago Cubs, swept the Toronto Blue Jays, and defeated the Miami Marlins and New York Mets. In the rubber match against the Mets on Sunday, Philadelphia secured a 7-1 victory. Edmundo Sosa led the offense with a three-run homer, while Jesus Luzardo got the win after allowing no runs on three hits with seven strikeouts and one walk across 6.2 innings of work.
This year, the Phillies average 4.73 runs per game (7th in the MLB) on a .258/.332/.407 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Phillies’ staff has a 3.89 ERA (15th) and 1.27 WHIP (16th). Kyle Schwarber leads the Phillies with a .249 batting average, 24 home runs, and 55 RBI this season.
The projected starting pitcher for the Phillies is Ranger Suarez, who is 6-1 in nine starts this season, with a 2.20 ERA and 1.06 WHIP in 57.1 innings.
Houston Astros Betting Preview
The Houston Astros (45-33, 27-13 Home) are undefeated in the last nine series. Although they split some of them, the notable series wins came against the Seattle Mariners, Minnesota Twins (sweep), and most recently, the Los Angeles Angels. In Sunday’s rubber match against the Angels, the Astros snatched a narrow 8-7 victory. Mauricio Dubon led the offense with a pair of homers and three RBI, while Ryan Gusto got the win after allowing five runs on six hits with seven strikeouts and no walks in 6.0 innings.
This season, the Astros average 4.27 runs per game (17th in the MLB) on a .257/.323/.402 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Astros’ staff has a 3.52 ERA (7th) and 1.16 WHIP (2nd). Isaac Paredes leads the Astros with a .256 batting average, 16 home runs, and 45 RBI this season.
Framber Valdez will take the mound for the Astros on Tuesday. The 31-year-old left-hander has an 8-4 record in 15 starts this year with a 3.09 ERA and 1.13 WHIP in 96.0 innings.
Total Runs Facts
Each of the Astros’ last four night games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Six of the Phillies’ last seven games as road underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the Phillies’ last 10 games as underdogs.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Astros’ last four night games against NL East opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
The Astros rank 2nd in the league for opponent batting average this season (.220).
The Astros rank 3rd in the league for batting average this season (.257).
The Phillies rank 3rd in the league for strikeouts this season (717).
The Phillies are one of only three teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and walks allowed this season.
Phillies vs Astros Prediction
The teams have traded wins in the past couple of years, each recording five in the previous ten H2H encounters. Nine of the last ten H2H duels went Under (one Push), and I am going with another low-scoring affair in this one because of the pitching matchup. Ranger Suarez allowed just four runs in his last six starts, while he registered all quality starts but one this season. Framber Valdez, on the other hand, surrendered more than two runs only once in his previous eight starts, and I am backing him to keep the Phillies to below three runs on Tuesday. Give me the Under.