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Philadelphia Phillies vs Colorado Rockies Prediction 5/22/25 MLB Picks
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Colorado Rockies (8-41) vs Philadelphia Phillies (31-18)
May 22, 2025 at 03:10 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Colorado Rockies +245 / Philadelphia Phillies -305 — Over/Under: 11
In this article, we will formulate a Phillies vs Rockies prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, May 22, at Coors Field in Denver, Colorado. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies (31-18, 14-10 Away) won seven series in a row, including the last two against the Cardinals and Pirates at home. They added another one following a 9-5 victory over the Colorado Rockies in Game 3 of the series on Wednesday, and now are on a six-game winning run. J.T. Realmuto led the offense with three RBI, while Taijuan Walker got the win after allowing three runs on six hits with two strikeouts and two walks across 5.0 innings of work.
This year, the Phillies average 4.83 runs per game (7th in the MLB) on a .264/.339/.411 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Phillies’ staff has a 3.76 ERA (13th) and 1.22 WHIP (12th). Kyle Schwarber leads the Phillies with a .253 batting average, 17 home runs, and 37 RBI this season.
The projected starting pitcher for the Phillies is Ranger Suarez, who is 2-0 in three starts this season, with a 5.09 ERA and 1.13 WHIP in 17.2 innings.
Colorado Rockies Betting Preview
The Colorado Rockies (8-41, 5-19 Home) lost the previous series to the Arizona Diamondbacks on the road, and are now on a four-game losing skid after losing the first three games of the series against the Philadelphia Phillies at home. In Wednesday’s 9-5 defeat, Hunter Goodman led the team with two RBI, while Carson Palmquist took the loss after allowing seven runs (six earned) on ten hits with two strikeouts and four walks in 4.1 innings.
This season, the Rockies average 3.31 runs per game (27th in the MLB) on a .217/.284/.360 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Rockies’ staff has a 5.88 ERA (30th) and 1.62 WHIP (30th). Hunter Goodman leads the Rockies with a .288 batting average, seven home runs, and 31 RBI this season.
German Marquez will take the mound for the Rockies on Thursday. The 30-year-old left-hander has a 1-6 record in nine starts this year with an 8.78 ERA and 1.83 WHIP in 40.0 innings.
Total Runs Facts
- Eight of the Rockies’ last nine games as home underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Phillies’ last three day games against NL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rockies’ last six home games.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Phillies’ last eight games as favorites against NL West opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Rockies rank 30th in the league for ERA this season (5.92).
- The Rockies rank 30th in the league for strikeouts this season (314).
- The Phillies rank 3rd in the league for on-base percentage this season (.340).
- The Phillies rank 4th in the league for hits this season (446).
Phillies vs Rockies Prediction
The Phillies won eight of the previous ten H2H encounters, including the last six. All three games of the current series produced 11+ runs, and I am looking for another Over on Thursday. German Marquez, interestingly, threw for 6.0 shutout innings last time out against Philly, which was his only shutout start of the year, but that is not happening in this one. Philadelphia has a .333 BA in 117 at-bats against Marquez, and I am backing the visitors to score 5+ runs off him in the opening five innings. Ranger Suarez, on the other hand, allowed ten runs in his three starts this year, and I expect the Rox to score multiple runs off him here. Back the Over.