Philadelphia Phillies vs Colorado Rockies Prediction 5/19/25 MLB Picks

The Philadelphia Phillies are visiting the Colorado Rockies on Monday, May 19th at the Coors Field in the opening game of this series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Philadelphia Phillies vs Colorado Rockies Prediction. We will examine:

The Colorado Rockies’ recent form and player performance

The Philadelphia Phillies’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Colorado Rockies

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Philadelphia Phillies

Recent betting trends in games played between the Philadelphia Phillies vs Colorado Rockies

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Philadelphia Phillies vs Colorado Rockies game

Colorado Rockies Preview

The Colorado Rockies have an 8-38 record this season and are sitting in last place in the NL West. The Rockies have a 5-16 home record and are 19-26 in over/under. They are coming off a 0-1 road defeat by the Diamondbacks, and are 1-5 in their last 6 games. Under is 4-2 in their last 6 games, and they are playing the Cubs and the Yankees next.

The Rockies have a .217 batting average this season, .286 OBP, and .361 Slugging percentage. Colorado’s pitching staff has a 5.80 ERA and 1.60 WHIP.  Hunter Goodman leads the Rockies with 49 hits, adding a team-high 29 RBI, and he is the team’s best hitter with a .299 batting average. Jordan Beck adds a team-high 8 home runs.

Kyle Freeland (L) will take the mound for the Rockies, and he has a 0-6 record, 6.15 ERA, and 1.59 WHIP. He has been terrible at home, with a 9.77 ERA in his four home starts, and he has given up at least 3 runs in seven of his last eight starts. In his previous start against the Phillies this season, he gave up 3 runs in 6.2 innings of work. Kyle Freeland is 2-4 with an ERA of 3.59 and 40 strikeouts in 9 appearances versus the Phillies in his career. He has a 2-0 record with an ERA of 1.04 and 19 strikeouts in 4 appearances against the Phillies at home in his career.

Philadelphia Phillies Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies have a 28-18 record this season and are sitting in second place in the NL East. They have an 11-10 road record, and are 20-25 in over/under. They are coming off a 1-0 home victory over the Pirates, and are 6-2 in their last 8 games. Under is 5-2 in their last 7 games, and they are playing the Athletics and the Braves next.

The Phillies have a .256 batting average this season, a .335 OBP, and a .398 Slugging percentage. Philly’s pitching staff has a 3.77 ERA and 1.24 WHIP.  Trea Turner leads the Phillies with 53 hits and in batting average with .294, while Kyle Schwarber leads the team with 35 RBI and a team-high 15 home runs.

Christopher Sanchez (L) will take the mound for the Phillies, and he has a 4-1 record, 2.91 ERA, and 1.22 WHIP. He has been even better on the road with a 1.88 ERA in three road starts, and he has given up two runs or less in seven of his eight starts this season. In his previous start against the Rockies this season, he gave up just one run in 5.1 innings of work. Cristopher Sánchez has a 1-0 record with an ERA of 2.57 and 24 strikeouts in 4 appearances versus the Rockies in his career.

Why the Colorado Rockies will win

• The Phillies have lost six of their last seven games as road favorites against National League opponents following a win.
• The Rockies have won four of their last five games as home underdogs against the Phillies following a loss.
• The Rockies have covered the run line in each of their last seven games as home underdogs against NL East opponents following a road loss.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as road favorites against NL West opponents following a win.
• The Phillies have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five road games against NL West opponents.
• The Phillies have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five road games against NL West opponents.

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

• The Rockies have lost 19 of their last 20 games following a road loss.
• The Phillies have won each of their last six games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Rockies have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine night games following a loss.
• The Phillies have covered the run line each of their last four games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
• The Rockies have trailed after 3 innings in nine of their last 10 night games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Phillies have led after 5 innings in each of their last nine games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Phillies have won the first inning in three of their last four games against NL West opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Rockies’ last eight night games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Phillies’ last four games as favorites against the Rockies have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the Phillies’ last 10 road games.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Rockies’ last seven night games at Coors Field.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Rockies rank T1st in the league for triples this season (13).
• The Rockies rank 30th in the league for strikeouts against this season (453).
• The Phillies rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (450).
• The Phillies rank 4th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.335).

Philadelphia Phillies vs Colorado Rockies Prediction

The Phillies swept the Rockies in their previous series this season by 3-0 wins, outscoring them by 14-3 runs. They are 7-2 in their last 9 overall meetings, but the Rockies are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings in Colorado. Under is 8-2 in their last 10 meetings.

In this Philadelphia Phillies vs Colorado Rockies Prediction, the Phillies are coming as huge -270 road favorites. The Phillies are rightfully favored, as they have been the superior team this season, but they have been mediocre on the road. They have dominated the Rockies in their previous series this season, but they were playing at home. The Phillies have had trouble in recent visits to Colorado, and Freeland has been extremely good against the Phillies’ bats.

On top of that, the Rockies have a better bullpen this season, and combined with the home court advantage and the inflated line towards the Phillies, I really like the hosts to keep it close. Take the Colorado Rockies by +2.5 runs in this one.