Padres vs Diamondbacks Prediction 6/15/25 MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Padres vs Diamondbacks prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, June 15th at Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

San Diego Padres Betting Preview

The San Diego Padres are 38-31 this year after they lost the first two games in this series by scores of 1-5 and 7-8. In their game two loss, San Diego led 7-3 in the ninth inning, but they fell apart in the bottom of the ninth for the loss. The Padres recorded 11 hits in the game, and they were led by Tatis Jr. and Machado, who both had two RBIs in the loss. San Diego started Bergert, who allowed three hits and three earned runs over 5.0 innings, while Suarez was charged with the loss. 

Prior to this series, the Padres lost two out of three against the Dodgers, but did win two out of three against the Brewers before that. San Diego has lost five of their last seven games, and they are currently third in the NL West standings. The San Diego pitching staff has a 3.53 ERA with a 1.22 WHIP and a .227 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 287 runs with a .247 batting average and a .315 on-base percentage this season. Fernando Tatis has led San Diego with 13 home runs and 30 RBIs, while Gavin Sheets has added 12 home runs and 40 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for San Diego is Nick Pivetta, who is 6-2 with a 3.48 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP over 72.1 innings pitched this year. 

Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview

The Arizona Diamondbacks are 36-34 this season after they won game two by a score of 8-7 on Saturday night. Arizona only scored one run in the first eight innings of the game, but they added seven in the bottom of the ninth for the win. The Diamondbacks recorded nine hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Perdomo and Suarez, who both had three RBIs in the win. Arizona started Gallen, who allowed six hits and four earned runs over 6.1 innings, while Ginkel was able to pick up the win. 

Prior to this series, the Diamondbacks swept the Mariners in three games, but lost all three against the Reds before that. Arizona has won five games in a row, and they are currently fourth in the NL West standings. The Arizona pitching staff has a 4.72 ERA with a 1.35 WHIP and a .250 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 359 runs with a .255 batting average and a .333 on-base percentage this year. Eugenio Suarez has led Arizona with 20 home runs and 55 RBIs, while Corbin Carroll has added 20 home runs and 44 RBIs this season. The projected starting pitcher for Arizona is Merrill Kelly, who is 6-2 with a 3.18 ERA and a 0.99 WHIP over 82.0 innings pitched this season.

Why the Diamondbacks will beat the Padres 

• The Diamondbacks have won each of their last six games at Chase Field.
• The Padres have lost each of their last four road games against NL West opponents.
• The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in five of their last six games at Chase Field.
• The Padres have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last seven road day games.

Total Runs Facts

• Five of the Padres’ last six road games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Six of the Diamondbacks’ last eight home games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Padres’ last eight games as road underdogs against National League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Diamondbacks’ last five day games against National League opponents.

Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts

• Eugenio Suarez has hit a home run in six of the Diamondbacks’ last seven day games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
• Ketel Marte has recorded at least one hit in each of the Diamondbacks’ last 11 games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Ketel Marte has scored at least one run in each of the Diamondbacks’ last six games as favorites against NL West opponents.
• Merrill Kelly has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last six appearances against NL opponents.
• Josh Naylor has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Diamondbacks’ last four home games against opponents that held a winning record.

San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts

• Manny Machado has hit a home run in three of the Padres’ last five road games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Jake Cronenworth has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances against the Diamondbacks after playing the previous day.
• Manny Machado has scored a run in five of the Padres’ last six games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
• Manny Machado has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Padres’ last six day games against NL teams that held a winning record.

Padres vs Diamondbacks Prediction 

Arizona was able to get an unbelievable comeback win on Saturday night in game two of this series, and they have won five games in a row, but their pitching continues to be a mess. The Diamondbacks are 20-17 at home this year, while the Padres are 17-19 on the road. San Diego has dropped four of their last five games, and they have allowed at least five runs in all four of those losses. The Padres are starting Pivetta, who has allowed nine earned runs in his last two starts. Arizona is starting Kelly, who has allowed zero earned runs in his last two starts (13.0 IP). I think Arizona has all of the momentum coming into this game, and I don’t like what I have seen from Pivetta, so give me the Diamondbacks here. 

David Racey's Pick: Diamondbacks ML