Orioles vs Rays Prediction 07/20/2025 Picks

In this article, we will formulate an Orioles vs Rays prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, July 20th at George M. Steinbrenner Field in Tampa, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 43-54 this season after they lost the first two games in this series by scores of 1-11 and 3-4. In their game two loss, Baltimore led 2-0 early in the game, but they allowed four runs in the 7/8th inning for the loss. The Orioles recorded 11 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Mullins, O’Hearn, and Henderson, who all had one RBI in the loss. Baltimore started Kremer, who allowed three hits and one earned run over 7.0 innings, while Dominguez allowed two earned runs for the loss. 

Prior to this series, the Orioles lost two out of three against the Marlins, but did win two out of three against the Mets before that. Baltimore has lost four games in a row, and they are currently last in the AL East standings. The Baltimore pitching staff has a 4.98 ERA with a 1.42 WHIP and a .268 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 397 runs with a .239 batting average and a .304 on-base percentage this season. Cedric Mullins has led Baltimore with 13 home runs and 42 RBIs, while Jackson Holliday has added 12 home runs and 38 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Trevor Rogers, who is 2-1 with a 1.53 ERA and a 0.82 WHIP over 35.1 innings pitched this season. 

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays are 52-47 this year after they won game two by a score of 4-3 on Saturday night. Tampa Bay took a 4-2 lead into the ninth, but they barely hung on for the win. The Rays recorded five hits in the game, and they were led by Simpson, who went 1-4 with one RBI in the win. Tampa Bay started Littell, who allowed seven hits and two earned runs over 6.0 innings, while Uceta got the win and Fairbanks picked up the save. 

Prior to this series, the Rays lost all four against the Red Sox and two out of three against the Tigers. Tampa Bay has lost four of its last six games, and they are currently fourth in the AL East standings. The Tampa Bay pitching staff has a 3.74 ERA with a 1.20 WHIP and a .236 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 464 runs with a .258 batting average and a .321 on-base percentage this season. Junior Caminero has led Tampa Bay with 25 home runs and 64 RBIs, while Brandon Lowe has added 19 home runs and 50 RBIs for the Rays this year. The projected starting pitcher for Tampa Bay is Ryan Pepiot, who is 6-7 with a 3.38 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP over 114.1 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Orioles will beat the Rays

The Orioles have won nine of their last 12 games as road underdogs against AL East opponents following a road loss.
The Rays have lost four of their last six games as favorites after playing the previous day.
The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last six games against the Rays following a road loss.
The Rays have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 home games following a home win.
The Rays have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four games as favorites.

Total Runs Facts
Four of the Orioles’ last five day games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Each of the Rays’ last three day games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Orioles’ last five road games against AL East opponents.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Rays’ last five games at George M. Steinbrenner Field.

Orioles vs Rays Prediction 

Baltimore comes into this game trying to snap a losing streak, but their offense has been brutal over their last four games. The Orioles are 21-29 on the road this year, while the Rays are 30-25 at home. Tampa Bay is battling for positioning in the AL East, and they are starting Pepiot, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last five. The O’s are going with Rogers, who has allowed a total of three earned runs in his last four starts. I don’t trust the offense at all, but I will take Rogers and the Orioles here.