Jun 28, 2025; Arlington, Texas, USA; Texas Rangers shortstop Corey Seager (5) rounds the bases after he hits a two run home run against the Seattle Mariners during the third inning at Globe Life Field. Mandatory Credit: Jerome Miron-Imagn Images

Orioles vs Rangers Prediction 06/30/2025 Picks

Pick details

Baltimore (36-47) vs Texas (41-43)

June 30, 2025 at 08:05 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Texas +1.5 — Over/Under: +8.5

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate an Orioles vs Rangers prediction for this MLB game on Monday, June 30th at Globe Life Field in Arlington, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview
The Baltimore Orioles are 36-47 this year after they won two out of three against Tampa Bay scores of 22-8, 3-11, and 5-1. In their game three win, Baltimore scored the first five runs in the game, but lost the shutout in the ninth inning. The Orioles recorded 10 hits in the game and they were led by Sanchez, who went 2-4 with one RBI in the win. Baltimore started Kremer, who allowed three hits and zero earned runs over 7.0 innings for the win, while Bautista allowed one earned run in relief. 

Prior to that series, the Orioles lost two out of three against the Rangers and two out of three against the Yankees. Baltimore has lost five of their last eight games and they are currently last in the AL East standings. The Baltimore pitching staff has a 4.95 ERA with a 1.43 WHIP and a .270 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 345 runs with a .240 batting average and a .307 on base percentage this season. Cedric Mullins has led Baltimore with 12 home runs and 39 RBIs, while Ryan O’Hearn has added 11 home runs and 30 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Trevor Rogers, who is 1-0 with a 1.62 ERA and a 0.78 WHIP over 16.2 innings pitched this year. 

Texas Rangers Betting Preview
The Texas Rangers are 41-43 this season after they lost two out of three against Seattle by scores of 6-7, 3-2, and 4-6. In their game three loss, Texas blew a 1-0 lead in the middle innings and allowed three runs in the top of the 12th for the loss. The Rangers recorded nine hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Seager, who went 1-4 with one home run and three RBIs in the loss. Texas started Leiter, who allowed seven hits and one earned run over 6.0 innings, while Winn picked up the loss. 

Prior to that series, the Rangers won two out of three against the Orioles and two out of three against the Pirates. Texas has won three of their last five games and they are currently fourth in the AL West standings. The Texas pitching staff has a 3.23 ERA with a 1.15 WHIP and a .225 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 308 runs with a .227 batting average and a .293 on base percentage this season. Adolis Garcia has led Texas with nine home runs and 42 RBIs, while Corey Seager has added 10 home runs and 23 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Texas is Patrick Corbin, who is 4-7 with a 4.24 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP over 76.1 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Orioles will beat the Rangers
The Orioles have won each of their last 11 Monday night games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
The Rangers have lost each of their last eight Monday night games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
The Orioles have covered the run line each of their last 11 Monday night games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight Monday home games.
The Orioles have led after 5 innings in six of their last seven night games against the Rangers at Globe Life Field.
The Rangers have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three home games against opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts
Seven of the Orioles’ last eight road games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Each of the Rangers’ last four home games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 10 of the Rangers’ last 11 night games against AL East opponents.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Orioles’ last eight night games against American League opponents.

Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts
Corey Seager has hit a home run in each of the Rangers’ last three games as home underdogs.
Patrick Corbin has recorded six strikeouts in three of his last four appearances against AL opponents.
Marcus Semien has recorded at least one hit in each of the Rangers’ last 12 games at Globe Life Field.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts
Gary Sanchez has hit a home run in three of the Orioles’ last four games as favorites against AL West opponents.
Ramon Laureano has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against the Rangers.
Ryan Mountcastle has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.

Matchup/League Facts
The Rangers rank 29th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.293).
The Rangers rank 28th in the league for hits this season (629).
The Orioles rank 28th in the league for hits allowed this season (769).
The Orioles rank 27th in the league for walks this season (236).

Orioles vs Rangers Prediction 
Both of these teams come into this series desperately needing wins to keep pace in their division, as they are both a long way from first place. The Rangers are 24-18 at home this year, while the Orioles are 17-25 on the road. Baltimore is coming off of a series win against TB and they are starting Rogers, who has allowed a total of three earned runs in 16.2 innings. Texas is starting Corbin, who has allowed nine earned runs and 15 hits over his last two outings. Take the Orioles to get a big win here. 

David Racey's Pick: Orioles ML

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