May 27, 2026; Baltimore, Maryland, USA; Baltimore Orioles first baseman Pete Alonso (25) hits a single during the eighth inning against the Toronto Blue Jays at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Mandatory Credit: Daniel Kucin Jr.-Imagn Images
Daniel Kucin Jr.-Imagn Images

Orioles vs Blue Jays Prediction 9/13/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Baltimore Orioles Toronto Blue Jays
Team Records 72-77 74-75
Spread +1.5 -175 -1.5 144
Moneyline +128 -155
Total Over 7.5 (102) Under 7.5 (-122)
Where Rogers Centre, Toronto, Ontario
When Sunday, September 13, 2026
Time 01:37 PM EDT
TV MLB.TV

In this article we will formulate an Orioles vs Blue Jays prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, September 13th at the Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 72-77 this season after they split the first two games by scores of 7-4 and 3-7. In game two, Baltimore cut the deficit to 6-3 in the seventh inning, but couldn’t get any closer in the loss. The Orioles recorded six hits in the game and they were led by Alonso, who went 1-3 with one home run and two RBIs. Bradish allowed eight hits and five earned runs over 3.0 innings for the loss, while Sanders allowed one earned run in relief. Prior to this series, Baltimore won two out of three against the Guardians, but lost all four against the Red Sox before that. 

This season, Baltimore has a 4.17 ERA with a 1.35 WHIP and a .254 opponent batting average, while they have scored 671 runs with a .234 batting average and a .316 on base percentage. Pete Alonso has led the Orioles with 35 home runs and 99 RBIs, while Gunnar Henderson has added 22 home runs and 57 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Trevor Rogers, who is 10-9 with a 4.15 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP over 151.2 innings pitched this season. 

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 74-75 this year after they won game two by a score of 7-3 on Saturday. Toronto scored five runs in the first three innings and they were able to get the relatively easy win. The Blue Jays recorded 11 hits and they committed three errors in the game, while they were led by Kirk, who went 2-4 with one home run and three RBIs. Miles allowed one hit over 2.0 innings, while Arrighetti picked up the win in bulk relief. Prior to this series, Toronto lost two out of three against the Athletics, but did win two out of three against the Royals before that. 

This season, Toronto has a 3.92 ERA with a 1.29 WHIP and a .236 opponent batting average, while they have scored 600 runs with a .249 batting average and a .310 on base percentage. Kazuma Okamoto has led the Blue Jays with 31 home runs and 84 RBIs, while Andres Gimenez has added nine home runs and 56 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Dylan Cease, who is 10-5 with a 2.40 ERA and a 1.04 WHIP over 161.1 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

  • The Orioles have lost seven of their last eight games against AL East opponents following a loss.
  • The Blue Jays have won each of their last four home games after playing the previous day.
  • The Blue Jays have covered the run line in six of their last seven games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven day games against AL East opponents.
  • The Blue Jays have led after 3 innings in three of their last four day games against AL East opponents.
  • The Blue Jays have led after 5 innings in seven of their last nine day games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

  • The Orioles have won five of their last six games as road underdogs following a road loss.
  • The Blue Jays have lost five of their last seven games as home favorites against AL East opponents.
  • The Orioles have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games as road underdogs against AL opponents following a loss.
  • The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games as favorites following a win.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Blue Jays’ last eight games as favorites against the Orioles have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Seven of the Orioles’ last eight games as road underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • There has been no run scored during the first inning in 10 of Trevor Rogers’ last 11 appearances as a starter.
  • There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Blue Jays’ last seven Sunday day games against AL East opponents.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

  • Alejandro Kirk has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances in day games.
  • Dylan Cease has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances with the Blue Jays as favorites.
  • Alejandro Kirk has hit at least one home run in three of his last four home appearances against AL East opponents that held a losing record.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

  • Coby Mayo has hit a home run in four of his last six road appearances against the Blue Jays.
  • Colton Cowser has recorded at least one hit in each of the Orioles’ last eight games against the Blue Jays.
  • Trevor Rogers has recorded six or more strikeouts in nine of his last 10 appearances.
  • Trevor Rogers has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances against AL East opponents.

Orioles vs Blue Jays Prediction 

Toronto was able to get the win in game two on Saturday and they have allowed three runs or fewer in three of their last four games. The Blue Jays are 38-36 at home this year, while the Orioles are 36-38 on the road. Baltimore has won three of their last five games and they have scored 6+ runs in all three of those wins. The Orioles are starting Rogers, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in back to back outings, while Cease has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five. Take the Blue Jays -1 here.

David Racey's Pick: Blue Jays -1

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