Jun 18, 2025; West Sacramento, California, USA; Houston Astros second baseman Mauricio Dubon (14) turns a double play over the top of Athletics third baseman Max Muncy (10) in the fourth inning at Sutter Health Park. Mandatory Credit: Cary Edmondson-Imagn Images

Oakland Athletics vs Houston Astros Prediction 06/19/2025 Picks

Pick details

Houston (43-31) vs Oakland (30-46)

June 19, 2025 at 10:05 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Oakland +110 / Houston -130 — Over/Under: 10.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Houston Astros are visiting the Athletics on Thursday, June 19th at the Sutter Health Park in the fourth game of this series, with the Astros having the 2-1 lead. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Houston Astros vs Athletics Prediction. We will examine:
The Athletics recent form and player performance
The Houston Astros recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Athletics
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Houston Astros
Recent betting trends in games played between the Houston Astros vs Athletics
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Houston Astros vs Athletics game

Athletics Preview

The Athletics have a 30-46 record this season and are sitting on the last place of the AL West. The Athleticshave a 13-25 home record and are 42-29 in over/under They are coming off a 4-11 home defeat by the Astros, and have back-to-back losses. Under is 3-2 in their last 5 games and are playing the Guardians and the Tigers next.

The Athletics have a .252 batting average this season, .320 OBP and .415 Slugging percentage. Athletics’ pitching staff has a 5.55 ERA and 1.52 WHIP. Jacob Wilson leads the Athleticswith 99 hits and a team-high .359 batting average, while Tyler Soderstrom leads the team with 45 RBI, and Brent Rooker adds a team-high 15 home runs.

Jacob Lopez (L) is the projected starter for the Athletics, and he has a 1-4 record, 4.80 ERA and 1.50 WHIP. He has been better at home, with a 3.18 ERA across four home games. He is coming off back-to-back shutouts against the Royals and the Orioles in 10 innings pitched, and this will be his first career start against the Astros.

Houston Astros Preview

The Houston Astroshave a 43-31 record this season and are sitting on the first place of the AL West. The Astroshave a 16-18 road record and 30-41 in over/under. They are coming off a 11-4 road victory the Athletics, and are 7-1 in their last 8 games. Under is 6-4 in their last 10 games, and they are playing the Angels and the Phillies next.

The Astros have a .259 batting average this season, .323 OBP and .403 slugging percentage. Houston’s pitching staff has a 3.42 ERA and 1.15 WHIP. Jeremy Pena leads the Astroswith 92 hits and he is the team’s best hitter, with a .321 batting average. Isaac Paredes leads the team in RBI with 44, adding a team-high 15 home runs.

Colton Gordon (L) is the projected starter for the Astros, and he has a 2-1 record, 4.70 ERA and 1.34 WHIP. He has been better on the road, with a 3.48 ERA across two road starts, and he has been sharp in his last two starts, having given up 3 runs across 11 innings of work. This will be his first career start against the Athletics.

Why the Athletics will win

The Athletics have won four of their last five games as underdogs against the Astros following a home loss.
The Astros have lost three of their last four games as road favorites against the Athletics following a win.
The Athletics have covered the run line in five of their last six games against American League opponents following a loss.
The Astros have failed to cover the run line in three of their last four road games against the Athletics following a win.

Why the Houston Astros will win

The Athletics have lost each of their last 10 night games at Sutter Health Park following a loss.
The Astros have won each of their last eight Thursday games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
The Astros have covered the run line in each of their last nine Thursday games as favorites against AL West opponents.
The Athletics have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine night games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
The Athletics have lost the first inning in three of their last four night games against opponents that held a winning record.
The Astros have led after 5 innings in five of their last six night games against American League opponents.
The Astros have led after 3 innings in five of their last six night games against American League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

Five of the Athletics’ last six home games against AL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
Three of the Astros’ last four night games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 11 of the Athletics’ last 13 games as home underdogs against AL West opponents.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Astros’ last nine road games.


Matchup/League Facts

The Athletics rank 30th in the league for ERA this season (5.55).
The Athletics rank 30th in the league for walks allowed this season (289).
The Astros rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (723).
The Astros rank 1st in the league for opponent batting average this season (.218).

Houston Astros vs Athletics Prediction

The Astros are 5-1 in their last 6 meetings against the A’s, and are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings in Oakland. Over is 7-2-1 in their last 10 meetings. 
In this Houston Astros vs Athletics Prediction, the Astrosare coming as -130 road favorites. The Astros are rightfully favored, as they have a better overall record, but they have been below average on the road and the A’s have been terrible at home. The Astros have the 5th-best bullpen in the league, while the A’s dead last, while the A’s also struggle against lefties, scoring just 3.2 runs per game against left-handed pitching, while the Astros are much better against southpaws, averaging 5.8 runs per game. Take the Astros to win this one on the road.  

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Houston Astros -130

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