New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Prediction 9/13/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

The New York Yankees and Boston Red Sox meet Saturday in MLB action at Fenway Park. Here’s a New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Prediction. This article will include a New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Pick.

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 82-65 on the year and play the Twins, Orioles, and White Sox next. The New York Yankees are batting .249 on the season, have a .330 OBP, and a .454 slugging percentage. The New York Yankees pitching staff has a 3.99 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP. Aaron Judge leads the New York Yankees with 159 hits and 101 RBI, while Cody Bellinger and Paul Goldschmidt have combined for 272 hits and 134 RBI.

Max Fried gets the ball for the New York Yankees, and he is 16-5 with a 3.02 ERA and 163 strikeouts this season. Fried is 2-1 with a 2.16 ERA and 34 strikeouts in his career against the Boston Red Sox.

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 81-67 on the year and play the Athletics, Rays, and Blue Jays next. The Boston Red Sox are batting .253 on the season, have a .323 OBP, and a .424 slugging percentage. The Boston Red Sox pitching staff has a 3.73 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP. Jarren Duran leads the Boston Red Sox with 146 hits and 79 RBI while Trevor Story and Ceddanne Rafaela have combined for 264 hits and 151 RBI.

Brayan Bello gets the ball for the Boston Red Sox, and he is 11-6 with a 3.12 ERA and 114 strikeouts this season. Bello is 5-3 with a 1.95 ERA and 49 strikeouts in his career against the New York Yankees.

New York Yankees @ Boston Red Sox Betting Trends: September 13, 2025

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Brayan Bello      Record this season: 11-6      ERA: 3.12
• Home Record: 8-3
• Last 5 against Yankees: 3-1

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

• The Red Sox have won each of their last five games as home underdogs after playing the previous day.
• The Yankees have lost eight of their last 10 games as road favorites against AL East opponents.
• The Red Sox have covered the run line in each of their last eight Saturday games as home underdogs.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games as favorites against AL East opponents following a road win.
• The Yankees have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five day games at Fenway Park against American League opponents.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Max Fried      Record this season: 16-5      ERA: 3.02
• Road Record: 9-3
• Last 5 against Red Sox: 2-1

Why the New York Yankees will win

• The Yankees have won nine of their last 11 road games against American League opponents.
• The Red Sox have lost four of their last five home games following a loss.
• The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games against AL East opponents.
• The Yankees have covered the run line in nine of their last 11 games as road favorites.
• The Red Sox have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four games against opponents that held a winning record.
• The Red Sox have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last nine games as underdogs.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Red Sox’s last four games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Yankees’ last four games as favorites against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Red Sox’s last nine games against American League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Yankees’ last five games.

New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Prediction

Fried seems to have right the ship a bit after a rocky September for the most part, as he’s allowed 5 earned runs in his last 27 innings. However, the Red Sox need a victory to kind of right the ship a bit, and they’ve won 5 straight games Bello has pitched. Also, Bello has had success against the Yankees, which includes holding current hitters to a .230 batting average and .304 on base percentage with 36 strikeouts in 113 at bats. It should be a fun one between two hated rivals, but I’ll give the Red Sox the edge.