New York Yankees vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction 9/20/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Yankees vs Diamondbacks Prediction for this MLB matchup on Sunday, September 20th in the third game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Arizona Diamondbacks Preview

The Arizona Diamondbacks have a 81-74 record this season and are sitting in the 3rd place of the NL West. They have a 44-36 home record and are coming off a 5-3 home win against the Yankees. They will face the Rockies and the Padres next.

The Arizona Diamondbacks have a .243 batting average this season, .315 OBP and .397 Slugging percentage. Arizona’s pitching staff has a 4.11 ERA and 1.28 WHIP. Gabriel Moreno is the team’s best hitter with a .304 batting average, adding a team-high 75 RBI. Nolan Arenado adds a team-high 26 home runs.

Corbin Burnes (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks, and he has a 0-0 record, 5.87 ERA and 1.17 WHIP.

New York Yankees Preview

The New York Yankees have a 89-65 record this season and are sitting in the 2nd place of the AL East. They have a 47-33 away record and are coming off a 3-5 road loss against the Diamondbacks. They will face the Rays and the Orioles next.

The New York Yankees have a .235 batting average this season, .312 OBP and .409 Slugging percentage. New York’s pitching staff has a 3.18 ERA and 1.16 WHIP. Cody Bellinger is the team’s best hitter with a .270 batting average. Ben Rice leads the team in RBI with 95, adding a team-high 39 home runs.

Will Warren (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Yankees, and he has a 10-6 record, 3.89 ERA and 1.36 WHIP.

New York Yankees @ Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Trends: September 20, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Corbin Burnes      Record this season: 0-0      ERA: 5.87
• Home Record: 0-0
• Last 5 against Yankees: 0-2

Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win

• The Diamondbacks have won seven of their last eight games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
• The Yankees have lost four of their last seven games as road favorites against NL West opponents.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Diamondbacks’ last seven games.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last three games as road favorites against NL opponents.
• The Diamondbacks have led after 3 innings in each of their last three day games against the Yankees.
• The Diamondbacks have led after 5 innings in six of their last seven home games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• The Yankees have lost the first inning in three of their last four day games.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Will Warren      Record this season: 10-6      ERA: 3.89
• Road Record: 4-3
• Last 5 against Diamondbacks: 0-0

Why the New York Yankees will win

• The Yankees have won each of their last 10 games following a loss.
• The Diamondbacks have lost seven of their last eight games following a home win.
• The Yankees have covered the run line in each of their last six games following a loss.
• The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games following a home win.
• The Diamondbacks have lost the first inning in each of their last three day games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• The Diamondbacks have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six games against AL East opponents.
• The Yankees have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games against NL West opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the Yankees’ last nine games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Diamondbacks’ last five games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Yankees’ last five games as road favorites against NL West opponents.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of Corbin Burnes’ four previous appearances as a starter against the Yankees.

Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts

• Pavin Smith has hit a home run in two of the Diamondbacks’ last three games.
• Corbin Burnes has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his nine previous appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Nolan Arenado has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 17 appearances against the Yankees.
• Gabriel Moreno ranks 5th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.304) this season.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• Will Warren has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
• Will Warren has recorded five or more strikeouts in four of his last five road appearances.
• Paul Goldschmidt has recorded at least one hit in each of his eight previous appearances with his team as a road favorite against the Diamondbacks.
• Aaron Judge has hit at least one home run in four of his last five appearances with the Yankees as road favorites against NL West opponents.
• Luis Garcia ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.534) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Diamondbacks rank 2nd in the league for triples this season (37).
• The Diamondbacks rank 29th in the league for strikeouts this season (1086).
• The Yankees rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (3.18).
• The Yankees rank 1st in the league for runs allowed this season (568).

Yankees vs Diamondbacks Prediction

Both teams are tied 5-5 in their last 10 meetings and the Angels are 4-1 in their last 5 meetings in LA.

In this Yankees vs Diamondbacks Prediction, the Yankees are coming as -110 road favorites. I like the Yankees in a bounce-back spot today, after a surprising loss yesterday with Cam Schlitter on the mound. Will Warren is the far safer option on the mound than Corbin Burnes, as Warren has been red-hot with just two earned runs across his last three starts, while Burnes was torched by the Marlins in his second start of the season. The Yankees have a better offense and the best bullpen in baseball. Take the Yankees on the moneyline in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: New York Yankees ML