New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 7/19/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

The New York Mets and Philadelphia Phillies meet Sunday in MLB action at Citizens Bank Park. Here’s a New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction. This article will include a New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Pick.

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 41-58 on the year and play the Dodgers and Brewers next. The New York Mets are batting .232 on the season, have a .302 OBP, and have a .380 slugging percentage. The New York Mets’ pitching staff has a 4.26 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP. Bo Bichette leads the New York Mets with 97 hits and 51 RBI, while Carson Benge and Juan Soto have combined for 175 hits and 88 RBI.

Nolan McLean gets the ball for the New York Mets, and he is 6-6 with a 3.52 ERA and 125 strikeouts this season. McLean is 1-1 with a 0.68 ERA and 11 strikeouts in his career against the Philadelphia Phillies.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 55-44 on the year and play the Dodgers and Yankees next. The Philadelphia Phillies are batting .236 on the season, with a .303 OBP and a .398 slugging percentage. The Philadelphia Phillies’ pitching staff has a 4.20 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP. Brandon Marsh leads the Philadelphia Phillies with 102 hits and 46 RBI, while Bryce Harper and Trea Turner have combined for 186 hits and 94 RBI.

Alan Rangel gets the ball for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he is 0-2 with a 4.19 ERA and 22 strikeouts this season. This will be Rangel’s second career game against the New York Mets.

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

• The Mets have lost seven of their last eight games at Citizens Bank Park following a road loss.
• The Phillies have won each of their last four Sunday games as home underdogs against National League opponents.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight road games against NL East opponents following a road loss.
• The Phillies have covered the run line in eight of their last 10 home games against the Mets.
• The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in nine of their last 11 games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last eight road games against opponents that held a winning record.

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Phillies have lost 15 of their last 16 games as underdogs against the Mets following a win.
• The Mets have won 13 of their last 14 games as favorites against the Phillies following a loss.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in 12 of their last 13 day games against NL East opponents following a win.
• The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last four day games against the Phillies following a loss.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Phillies’ last four games has gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Mets’ last four road games after playing the previous day has gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in seven of the last eight games between the Mets and Phillies at Citizens Bank Park.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in five of the Mets’ last six games as favorites.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Trea Turner has hit a home run in five of the Phillies’ last six games at Citizens Bank Park.
• Alan Rangel has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances.
• Trea Turner has recorded at least one hit in each of the Phillies’ last eight home games.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Nolan McLean has recorded seven or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances with the Mets as favorites.
• Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances with the Mets as favorites against NL East opponents.
• Nolan McLean has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances with the Mets as road favorites.
• Tyrone Taylor has hit a home run in each of the Mets’ last two day games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.

New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

Rangel has just 19.1 innings under his belt this season, and he hasn’t been great in those limited frames. The Mets have the edge with McLean on the bump. However, I’m just not in the business of backing the Mets, the most disappointing team in baseball. I don’t care about the edge with the starting pitchers. I’m going to continue fading the Mets until it no longer makes sense. Give me the Phillies.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Philadelphia Phillies