Pick details
| MATCHUP | New York Mets | New York Yankees |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 68-79 | 85-62 |
| Spread | +1.5 -137 | -1.5 114 |
| Moneyline | +153 | -186 |
| Total | Over 8 (-113) | Under 8 (-107) |
| Where | Yankee Stadium, Bronx, New York | |
| When | Saturday, September 12, 2026 | |
| Time | 01:35 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
The New York Mets and the New York Yankees will meet Saturday afternoon in the opening game of the Subway Series at Yankee Stadium in Bronx, New York. Let’s take a look at this matchup from a betting perspective.
New York Mets Betting Preview
The New York Mets enter Saturday’s matchup with a 68-78 overall record (4th in the National League East) and a 34-38 mark on the road. The Mets offense has been rather inconsistent this season. New York has compiled 631 runs scored (22nd in MLB), 189 doubles, 182 home runs and a .238 team batting average which ranks 29th in Major League Baseball.
The Mets arrive at today’s game in above average form. New York has won four of the team’s last five games played this season, including a 4-2 victory over the San Francisco Giants five days ago.
The Mets will turn to left hander Zac Thornton in this game. In 12 starts made in 2026, Thornton has compiled a 3-5 win-loss record, a 3.53 ERA, a 1.19 WHIP and 51 strikeouts in 66.1 innings pitched. Zac Thornton arrives at this contest in subpar form, allowing six earned runs and four home runs across five innings pitched in the San Francisco Giants 9-5 victory over the Mets last week. Thornton will look to rebound from his recent poor performance on the mound in this afternoon’s matchup with the Yankees.
Turning our attention to the New York offense, the Mets lineup features Juan Soto and Carson Benge. Juan Soto has compiled a .275 batting average, 24 home runs, 59 RBIs, 9 doubles and a .925 OPS. Carson Benge has tallied a .272 batting average, 16 home runs, 55 RBIs, 19 doubles, 45 walks and a .745 OPS.
New York Yankees Betting Preview
The New York Yankees enter Saturday’s contest matchup with a 85–62 overall record (2nd in the American League East) and a 41-31 mark at home. New York arrives at this contest in good form, winning five of the team’s last six games, including a 6–1 victory over the Colorado Rockies two days ago.
The Yankees will start right hander Gerrit Cole in this contest. In 19 starts made in 2026, Cole has compiled an 8-8 win-loss record, a 3.41 ERA, a 1.09 WHIP and 113 strikeouts in 111 innings pitched.
The Yankees lineup features Ben Rice and Trent Grisham. Ben Rice enters this contest with a .259 batting average, 37 home runs (7th in MLB), 89 RBIs and an .876 OPS which ranks 13th in Major League Baseball. Trent Grisham has compiled 18 home runs, 59 RBIs and a .703 OPS.
Why the New York Mets will win.
• Starting pitching. In 12 starts made in 2026, Zac Thornton has compiled a 3-5 win-loss record, a 3.53 ERA, a 1.19 WHIP and 51 strikeouts in 66.1 innings pitched.
• Offensive potential. Juan Soto and Carson Benge have been key contributors for the New York Mets this season.
• Current form. The New York Mets have won four of the team’s last five games.
Why the New York Yankees will win.
• Starting pitching. Gerrit Cole has compiled an 8-8 win-loss record, a 3.41 ERA, a 1.09 WHIP and 113 strikeouts in 111 innings pitched.
• Home field edge. New York has amassed a robust 41-31 record at Yankee Stadium.
• Recent form. The New York Yankees have won five of the team’s last six games.
New York Mets vs. New York Yankees Prediction
In my opinion, this matchup favors the New York Yankees. Why? The Yankees arrive at this contest playing exceptional baseball, winning five of the team’s last six games. Additionally, New York starting pitcher Gerrit Cole has performed at a high level in 2026, amassing an 8-8 win-loss record, a 3.41 ERA, a 1.09 WHIP and 113 strikeouts in 111 innings pitched. With that said, the Yankees are the clear side to be on in this one. I am backing the New York Yankees on the moneyline in this game.
Hans Geevers's Pick: New York Yankees ML
