New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction 7/22/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

The New York Mets and the Milwaukee Brewers meet Wednesday in MLB action from American Family Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The New York Mets will send out Christian Scott for the start here and Scott is 3-1 with a 2.87 ERA and 72 strikeouts this season. Logan Henderson will start for Milwaukee and is 3-1 with a 2.97 ERA and 38 strikeouts this season.

New York Mets Recap

The New York Mets come into this game looking to add on to their 4-0 win over the Milwaukee Brewers last time out to sit at 43-59 this season. After this series, the Mets will take on the Los Angeles Dodgers in a series at home.

Mets Alternate Wins & Losses In 6 Straight

Juan Soto has 83 hits with 8 doubles, 21 home runs and 52 RBIs. Brett Baty has 67 hits with 13 doubles, a triple, 5 home runs and 32 RBIs. Marcus Semien also has 63 hits with 8 doubles, 9 home runs and 29 RBIs as well this season. Bo Bichette also has 102 hits with 15 doubles, 10 home runs and 51 RBIs as well this season. Francisco Alvarez has also added 56 hits with 7 doubles and 11 home runs this season. Carson Benge also has 97 hits with 13 doubles, 2 triples, 11 home runs and 40 RBIs and Mark Vientos has added 50 hits with 9 doubles, 11 home runs and 35 RBIs.

Milwaukee Brewers Recap

The Milwaukee Brewers come into this game looking to shake off their 4-0 loss at the hands of the Mets last time out to sit at 63-38 this season. After this series, the Brewers will take on the Colorado Rockies in a series at home.

Brewers Have Four-Game Win Streak Snapped

William Contreras has 99 hits with 14 doubles, 10 home runs and 57 RBIs while Brice Turang’s added 96 hits with 24 doubles, 3 triples, 14 homers and 61 RBIs. Jake Bauers has 80 hits with 15 doubles, 18 home runs and 59 RBIs and Sal Frelick’s added 65 hits with 4 home runs and 34 RBIs this season. Garrett Mitchell has 81 hits with 22 doubles and 48 RBIs this season. 

New York Mets @ Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends: July 22, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Logan Henderson      Record this season: 3-1      ERA: 2.97
• Home Record: 1-0
• Last 5 against Mets: –

Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win

• The Mets have lost each of their last nine road games against NL Central opponents following a win.
• The home team has won seven of the Brewers’ last eight games.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 11 road games against NL Central opponents following a win.
• The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last five day games against NL East opponents.
• The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in eight of their last 10 games as road underdogs.
• The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in eight of their last 10 games as road underdogs.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Christian Scott      Record this season: 3-1      ERA: 2.87
• Road Record: 2-1
• Last 5 against Brewers: –

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Brewers have lost each of their last three games as favorites against NL East opponents following a home loss.
• The Mets have won four of their last five road games after playing the previous day.
• The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight home games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in seven of the last nine games between the Mets and Brewers.
• The Brewers have trailed after 3 innings in seven of their last eight day games.
• The Brewers have lost the first inning in each of their last three day games against opponents that held a losing record.
• The Mets have led after 5 innings in each of their last four day games against the Brewers.

Total Runs Facts

• Six of the Mets’ last seven games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Four of the Brewers’ last five day games as favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of Christian Scott’s last six road appearances as a starter.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the last six day games between the Mets and Brewers.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

• Brice Turang has hit at least one home run in three of his last five appearances in day games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
• Logan Henderson has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances.
• Jackson Chourio has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances in day games against NL East teams that held a losing record.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Jared Young has hit a home run in each of the Mets’ last two day games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• Christian Scott has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances against NL opponents.
• Bo Bichette has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mets’ last 10 games against NL Central opponents.
• Juan Soto ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.404) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Brewers rank 30th in the league for home runs this season (94).
• The Brewers rank 30th in the league for home runs this season (94).
• The Mets rank 29th in the league for doubles this season (127).
• The Mets rank 29th in the league for doubles this season (127).

New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers Prediction

I’m on the Brewers in this one. I just feel like this is a really good pitching matchup for the Brewers here with Henderson going here as the better option and I still don’t trust Christian Scott in a spot like this. The Brewers have been the far more consistent offense for much of the year against righties and I look for that to continue here. Give me Milwaukee.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Milwaukee -145