New York Mets vs Colorado Rockies Prediction 5/5/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

The New York Mets and the Colorado Rockies meet Tuesday in MLB action from Coors Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The New York Mets will send out Freddy Peralta here and Peralta is 1-3 with a 3.52 ERA and 42 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Rockies, Peralta is 2-2 with a 2.86 ERA and 42 strikeouts. Michael Lorenzen will start for the Rockies here and is 2-3 with a 6.09 ERA and 24 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Mets, Lorenzen is 3-0 with a 1.97 ERA and 15 strikeouts.

New York Mets Recap

The New York Mets come into this game looking to build on their 4-2 win over the Rockies from Monday’s matchup to improve to 13-22 this season. After this series, the Mets will head on the road for a series against the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Mets Win Back-To-Back Games

Entering Monday, Luis Robert Jr. has 19 hits including 2 home runs and 8 RBIs while Juan Soto has 22 hits with 4 doubles, 3 home runs and 8 RBIs. Brett Baty has 20 hits with 4 doubles, a triple and 12 RBIs while Francisco Lindor has 21 hits with 2 doubles and a pair of triples as well. Marcus Semien also has 26 hits with 5 doubles, a home run and 11 RBIs as well this season. Bo Bichette also has 34 hits with 5 doubles, 2 home runs and 15 RBIs as well this season. Francisco Alvarez has also added 21 hits with 3 doubles and 4 home runs this season.

Colorado Rockies Recap

The Colorado Rockies come into this game looking to bounce back from their loss to the Mets on Monday to fall to 14-22 this year. After this series, the Rockies will head on the road for a series against the Philadelphia Phillies.

Rockies Lose 5 In A Row

Going into Monday, TJ Rumfield has 34 hits with 6 doubles, a triple, 4 home runs and 19 RBIs while Ezequiel Tovar has 24 hits with 8 doubles, a home run and 9 RBIs. Hunter Goodman’s added 29 hits with 7 doubles, 9 home runs and 15 RBIs and Jordan Beck has 9 RBIs as well on the year. Troy Johnston has 34 hits with 8 doubles, 2 home runs and 16 RBIs. Willi Castro also has 22 hits with 5 doubles, a home run and 11 RBIs.

New York Mets @ Colorado Rockies Betting Trends: May 5, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Michael Lorenzen      Record this season: 2-3      ERA: 6.09
• Home Record: 1-1
• Last 5 against Mets: 2-0

Why the Colorado Rockies will win

• The Mets have lost six of their last seven games as road favorites following a win.
• The Rockies have won three of their last four games as underdogs against the Mets.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as favorites following a road win.
• The Rockies have covered the run line in six of their last seven night games following a home loss.
• The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five road night games.
• The Mets have lost the first inning in each of their last three night games.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Freddy Peralta      Record this season: 1-3      ERA: 3.52
• Road Record: 0-1
• Last 5 against Rockies: 2-2

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Rockies have lost 16 of their last 17 home games against NL East opponents.
• The road team has won each of the last seven games between the Mets and Rockies.
• The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last 12 road games against NL West opponents following a win.
• The Rockies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games.
• The Rockies have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last six night games against opponents that held a losing record.
• The Mets have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight Tuesday games against National League opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Mets’ last six road games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Rockies’ last four night games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last eight games between the Mets and Rockies.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last five games against NL West opponents.

Colorado Rockies Player Prop Facts

• Hunter Goodman has hit at least one home run in seven of his last 13 appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
• Michael Lorenzen has recorded four or more strikeouts in four of his last five home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Hunter Goodman has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
• Michael Lorenzen has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Mickey Moniak ranks T6th in the league in Home Runs (11) this season.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Juan Soto has hit a home run in each of the Mets’ last two night games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Freddy Peralta has recorded seven or more strikeouts in six of his last seven appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
• Freddy Peralta has recorded a win in each of his last six Tuesday appearances in night games with his team as a favorite.
• Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in 12 of his last 13 appearances against the Rockies.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Rockies rank 29th in the league for strikeouts against this season (346).
• The Rockies rank 28th in the league for home runs allowed this season (49).
• The Mets rank 30th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.342).
• The Mets rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (333).

New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies Prediction

I’m on the Mets in this one. Lorenzen outdueled Peralta when these teams met a couple of weeks ago in New York, but with the matchup now at Coors, where Lorenzen’s struggled for much of his career, I think Peralta and the Mets get some revenge here. Peralta has great career numbers at Coors, which is weighted more heavily for a starting pitcher with Coors’ hitter-friendly nature and I think Peralta has another strong start on the way to another W here. Give me the Mets.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: NY Mets -155