In this article, we will formulate a Mets vs Braves prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, June 19, at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets (45-29, 18-19 Away) are going through their most challenging period of the season as they lost five consecutive games for the first time. The Mets suffered their first sweep of the year after losing all three games to the Tampa Bay Rays, and then lost the opening two of the current series against the Braves. In Wednesday’s 5-0 defeat, Paul Blackburn took the loss after allowing four runs (three earned) on four hits with two strikeouts and two walks in 3.2 innings.

This season, the Mets average 4.55 runs per game (11th in the MLB) on a .247/.331/.421 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Mets’ staff has a 2.98 ERA (1st) and 1.25 WHIP (14th). Pete Alonso leads the Mets with a .291 batting average, 17 home runs, and 63 RBI this season.

Clay Holmes will take the mound for the Mets on Thursday. The 32-year-old right-hander has a 7-3 record in 14 starts this year with a 2.87 ERA and 1.17 WHIP in 78.1 innings.

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves (33-39, 21-15 Home) will win their third straight series after two wins against the Mets. Prior to this one, the Braves beat the Milwaukee Brewers and Colorado Rockies. Atlanta beat the Mets 5-4 in extra innings to open the current series, and then kept the visitors off the scoreboard in a 5-0 victory on Wednesday. Ronald Acuna Jr. and Matt Olson hit a solo homer apiece, while Chris Sale got the win after allowing no runs on five hits with seven strikeouts and one walk across 8.2 innings of work. He needed just one out for a complete game shutout, but Brian Snitker took him out as Sale threw for 116 pitches at that point.

This year, the Braves average 4.15 runs per game (21st in the MLB) on a .245/.318/.385 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Braves’ staff has a 3.75 ERA (12th) and 1.22 WHIP (13th). Matt Olson leads the Braves with a .251 batting average, 15 home runs, and 45 RBI this season.

The projected starting pitcher for the Braves is Spencer Strider, who is 1-5 in six starts this season, with a 4.35 ERA and 1.16 WHIP in 31.0 innings.

Total Runs Facts

Sixteen of the Mets’ last 20 games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Fifteen of the Braves’ last 20 home games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last five games against NL East opponents.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last six Thursday night games at Truist Park.

Matchup/League Facts

The Braves rank 26th in the league for steals this season (37).
The Braves rank 5th in the league for strikeouts this season (656).
The Mets rank 2nd in the league for runs allowed this season (258).
The Mets rank 3rd in the league for walks this season (271).

Mets vs Braves Prediction

The Braves won six of the previous ten H2H encounters, including six of the last seven. Both of the teams played more Under than Over games this year; the Mets are 29-42 Over/Under, while the Braves are 29-38 Over/Under. I am going with Under because of the pitching matchup. Clay Holmes has been excellent of late; he allowed seven runs in his previous five starts, four of which were quality starts. Spencer Strider, on the other hand, registered back-to-back quality starts, and I am backing both pitchers to record QS in this one. Back the Under.

Oliver Zivic's Pick: Under 8.5