New York Mets vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction MLB Picks 8/29/24

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Arizona Diamondbacks (75-57) vs New York Mets (69-63)

August 29, 2024 at 03:40 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Arizona Diamondbacks -111 / New York Mets -106 — Over/Under: 8.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The New York Mets and the Arizona Diamondbacks meet Thursday in MLB action from Chase Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The New York Mets will start David Peterson here and Peterson is 8-1 with a 2.85 ERA and 66 strikeouts this season. In his career, Peterson is 0-0 with a 6.75 ERA and 10 strikeouts against Arizona. Ryne Nelson will get the start for the Diamondbacks here and is 9-6 with a 4.29 ERA and 108 strikeouts this season. In his career, Nelson is 0-2 with a 15.95 ERA and 4 strikeouts against the Mets.

New York Mets Recap

The New York Mets come into this one looking to win the series after falling short on Wednesday by a final score of 8-5. The Mets would be looking for a series win to keep their series win streak alive after taking out the Orioles and splitting with the Padres over the last week and a half.

Mets Making Push For Playoff Spot

Pete Alonso has 28 home runs and 73 RBIs with 29 doubles and Francisco Lindor has 35 doubles of his own with 27 home runs and 78 RBIs along with 25 stolen bases. Brandon Nimmo has 72 RBIs and 133 strikeouts while Lindor has a team-high 147 hits and Harrison Bader has 15 stolen bases as well this season.

Why the New York Mets will win

  • The Mets have won each of their last eight games against National League opponents following a road loss.
  • The Diamondbacks have lost each of their last three games as home favorites against the Mets following a win.
  • The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last eight games against the Diamondbacks following a loss.
  • The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 games as home favorites against the Mets following a win.

Arizona Diamondbacks Recap

The Arizona Diamondbacks come into this game trying to win the series after evening the set up at one win apiece with their victory on Wednesday. The series win would help the Diamondbacks build on their series sweeps over the Red Sox and Marlins over the last week and a half.

Diamondbacks Making Push For NL West Title

Ketel Marte leads the Diamondbacks with 130 hits in addition to a .298 batting average and 20 doubles with 30 home runs and 81 RBIs while Lourdes Gurriel Jr. also has 16 home runs and 67 RBIs as well this season. Corbin Carroll has a team-high 21 stolen bases, 17 home runs and 60 RBIs while Eugenio Suarez has 143 strikeouts this season. Christian Walker also has 23 home runs with 71 RBIs of his own in addition to 114 strikeouts this season.

Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win

  • The Diamondbacks have won each of their last eight games against National League opponents following a home win.
  • The Mets have lost six of their last eight road games after playing the previous day.
  • The Diamondbacks have covered the run line each of their last seven day games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Mets have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six day games following a loss.

Mets vs. Diamondbacks Prediction

I’m leaning towards the Mets here. Both Peterson and Nelson have been profitable options on the mound for their respective teams this season, but we already saw the Diamondbacks struggle against a lefty in Sean Manaea earlier in this series and I think there could be another struggle here. The Mets have crushed Nelson in his career and I think that in a coin flip spot like this, that could end up being the edge. Give me the Mets.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: New York Mets -106

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