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Nationals vs Brewers Prediction 07/12/2025 Picks
Pick details
Washington (38-56) vs Milwaukee (54-40)
July 12, 2025 at 04:10 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Milwaukee -1.5 — Over/Under: +8.5
In this article we will formulate a Nationals vs Brewers prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, July 12th at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.Â
Washington Nationals Betting Preview
The Washington Nationals are 38-56 this season after they lost game one by a score of 8-3 to start the series. Washington led 1-0 in the third inning, but they allowed the next seven runs in the loss. The Nationals recorded six hits in the game and they were led by Adams, who went 2-3 with one home run and one RBI in the loss. Washington started Parker, who allowed eight hits and seven earned runs over 4.2 innings for the loss, while Garcia allowed one earned run in relief.Â
Prior to this series, the Nationals lost two out of three against the Cardinals and all three against the Red Sox. Washington has lost six of their last seven games and they are currently last in the NL East standings. The Washington pitching staff has a 5.19 ERA with a 1.40 WHIP and a .263 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 411 runs with a .245 batting average and a .312 on base percentage this season. James Wood has led Washington with 24 home runs and 69 RBIs, while Nathaniel Lowe has added 14 home runs and 61 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Washington is Shinnosuke Ogasawara, who is 0-1 with a 13.50 ERA and a 2.63 WHIP over 2.2 innings pitched this season.Â
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers are 54-40 this year after they won the first game in this series by a score of 8-3 on Friday night. Milwaukee scored seven runs in the third/fourth innings to pull away in the easy win. The Brewers recorded 10 hits in the game and they were led by Contreras, Chourio, and Yelich, who both had two RBIs in the win. Milwaukee started Hall, who allowed two hits and one earned run over 3.0 innings, while Priester allowed two earned runs over 6.0 innings for the win.Â
Prior to this series, the Brewers won all three games against the Dodgers and two out of three against the Marlins. Milwaukee has won five games in a row and they are currently second in the NL Central standings. The Milwaukee pitching staff has a 3.67 ERA with a 1.26 WHIP and a .234 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 443 runs with a .247 batting average and a .322 on base percentage this season. Christian Yelich has led Milwaukee with 19 home runs and 65 RBIs, while Jackson Chourio has added 15 home runs and 58 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Brandon Woodruff, who is 1-0 with a 1.50 ERA and a 0.33 WHIP over 6.0 innings pitched this year.Â
Why the Brewers will beat the Nationals
The Brewers have won eight of their last nine home games.
The Nationals have lost seven of their last eight day games against National League opponents.
The Brewers have covered the run line in eight of their last nine home games.
The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games as underdogs.
The Brewers have led after 5 innings in five of their last six games at American Family Field against National League opponents that held a losing record.
The Brewers have led after 3 innings in four of their last five home games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
Twelve of the Nationals’ last 13 day games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Eight of the Brewers’ last nine day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last four day games between the Nationals and Brewers.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Nationals’ last five day games against National League opponents.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
Andrew Vaughn has hit a home run in three of his last four home appearances against NL East opponents.
Christian Yelich has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 22 appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
Brandon Woodruff has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
William Contreras has recorded at least one Double in each of the Brewers’ last three games as favorites against NL opponents.
Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts
CJ Abrams has recorded at least one hit in each of the Nationals’ last seven games as road underdogs.
Josh Bell has recorded a Double in four of the Nationals’ last five games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
Paul DeJong has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances against the Brewers.
Nationals vs Brewers PredictionÂ
Milwaukee rolls into this contest on a long winning streak and they are within striking distance of the Cubs in the NL Central. The Brewers are 31-17 at home this year, while the Nationals are 20-28 on the road. On the other side, Washington has really struggled over the last month and they are starting Ogasawara, who was not very good in his first outing. Milwaukee is starting Woodruff, who is making his second start of the season and looked very strong in the first outing. Washington has no momentum coming into this game and their pitching staff is a mess. Take the Brewers -1.5 here.Â