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MLB Player Prop Picks (Pitcher Props) 9/18/2025 Today’s MLB Picks
Pick details
Cleveland (79-71) vs Detroit (85-66)
September 18, 2025 at 01:10 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Detroit -1.5 — Over/Under: +7
Tarik Skubal Over 19.5 Outs
Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians 1:10 PM EST
Tarik Skubal has been one of the American League’s top pitchers so far this season, anchoring the Detroit Tigers’ rotation with dominant consistency. Through 29 starts he holds a 13–5 record with a stellar 2.26 ERA, 224 strikeouts, and an impressive 0.86 WHIP. His home performance has been especially sharp, posting a 2.17 ERA over 95.1 innings at Comerica Park. Even though this Cleveland team is hot, they still rank in the bottom 10 in almost every major offensive category. Skubal has gone 20+ innings in 4 of his last 5 starts, and I don’t see that changing going up against this Cleveland offense.Â
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Chris Bassitt Over 2.5 Earned Runs
Toronto Blue Jays vs Tampa Bay Rays 1:10 PM EST
Chris Bassitt has delivered a steady season for the Toronto Blue Jays this season. He comes into this one with an 11–8 record with a 3.90 ERA, 163 strikeouts, and a 1.30 WHIP. Advanced metrics show that opponents have made some solid contact, as he has allowed an average exit velocity of 87.5 mph with a 36.2% hard-hit rate and an 8.8% barrel percentage. When looking at Bassitt’s home/away splits, it’s evident that Bassitt just isn’t the same pitcher away from Toronto. Steinbrenner Field out in Tampa has been a hitter-friendly ballpark, which should result in another tough road start for Bassitt.
Max Fried Over 5.5 K’s
New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles 7:15 PM EST
Max Fried has been a frontline force for the New York Yankees, turning in one of the most reliable seasons of his career. Over 30 starts, he has compiled a 17–5 record with a 3.03 ERA across 181.1 innings, striking out 169 batters while keeping his WHIP at a strong 1.13. I expect Max Fried to deal in this game. After a tough stretch, Fried is starting to look like the pitcher we saw at the start of the season. He’ll be up against the Orioles, who’ve struggled to hit against left-handed pitching and have struggled to hit in the month of September. Fried has a great opportunity to rack up the strikeouts in this matchup.
Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians 1:10 PM EST
Tarik Skubal has been one of the American League’s top pitchers so far this season, anchoring the Detroit Tigers’ rotation with dominant consistency. Through 29 starts he holds a 13–5 record with a stellar 2.26 ERA, 224 strikeouts, and an impressive 0.86 WHIP. His home performance has been especially sharp, posting a 2.17 ERA over 95.1 innings at Comerica Park. Even though this Cleveland team is hot, they still rank in the bottom 10 in almost every major offensive category. Skubal has gone 20+ innings in 4 of his last 5 starts, and I don’t see that changing going up against this Cleveland offense.Â
Check out Brad’s BEST PICKS, including his $19 PICK OF THE DAY!
Chris Bassitt Over 2.5 Earned Runs
Toronto Blue Jays vs Tampa Bay Rays 1:10 PM EST
Chris Bassitt has delivered a steady season for the Toronto Blue Jays this season. He comes into this one with an 11–8 record with a 3.90 ERA, 163 strikeouts, and a 1.30 WHIP. Advanced metrics show that opponents have made some solid contact, as he has allowed an average exit velocity of 87.5 mph with a 36.2% hard-hit rate and an 8.8% barrel percentage. When looking at Bassitt’s home/away splits, it’s evident that Bassitt just isn’t the same pitcher away from Toronto. Steinbrenner Field out in Tampa has been a hitter-friendly ballpark, which should result in another tough road start for Bassitt.
Max Fried Over 5.5 K’s
New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles 7:15 PM EST
Max Fried has been a frontline force for the New York Yankees, turning in one of the most reliable seasons of his career. Over 30 starts, he has compiled a 17–5 record with a 3.03 ERA across 181.1 innings, striking out 169 batters while keeping his WHIP at a strong 1.13. I expect Max Fried to deal in this game. After a tough stretch, Fried is starting to look like the pitcher we saw at the start of the season. He’ll be up against the Orioles, who’ve struggled to hit against left-handed pitching and have struggled to hit in the month of September. Fried has a great opportunity to rack up the strikeouts in this matchup.
