Detroit Tigers pitcher Tarik Skubal (29) throws against Cleveland Guardians during the fourth inning at Comerica Park in Detroit on Thursday, Sept. 18, 2025.

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Pick details

Tampa Bay (76-80) vs Baltimore (73-83)

September 23, 2025 at 06:35 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Baltimore +1.5 — Over/Under: +9

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Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles 6:35 PM EST
Pick: NRFI

The Rays will start right-hander Ryan Pepiot, who has an 11–11 record with a 3.77 ERA this season. Pepiot has been effective in his recent outings and is currently in his best stretch of the season. The Orioles will counter with right-hander Dean Kremer, who is 10–10 with a 4.39 ERA and 136 strikeouts. Kremer has shown resilience throughout the season, though he has been prone to occasional rough outings. In his last start against the Chicago White Sox on September 16, he allowed two earned runs over five innings, earning the win. Both these starts have been trending towards the right direction down the stretch, and they should be able to get us out of the first inning untouched.

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Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians 6:40 PM EST
Pick: NRFI

The Detroit Tigers will face the Cleveland Guardians at Progressive Field in a pivotal AL Central showdown. The Tigers enter the game with an 85–71 record, holding a slim one-game lead over the Guardians, who are 84–72. This three-game series is crucial for both teams, as they vie for the division title and a playoff berth. Detroit will start left-hander Tarik Skubal, who has been dominant this season with a 13–5 record and a 2.23 ERA. Skubal has been particularly effective against Cleveland, boasting a 0.41 ERA in three starts against them this year, including a shutout on May 25. The Guardians will counter with right-hander Gavin Williams, who has an 11–5 record and a 3.06 ERA. Williams has been impressive recently, posting a 1.87 ERA over his last six starts. 

New York Mets vs Chicago Cubs 7:40 PM EST
Pick: NRFI

The New York Mets (80–76) will face the Chicago Cubs (88–68) at Wrigley Field in Chicago, starting at 7:40 PM ET. The Mets enter the game tied with the Cincinnati Reds for the final NL Wild Card spot, while the Cubs have clinched a playoff berth but are aiming to secure a higher seed. The Mets will start left-hander David Peterson, who has a 9–6 record and a 3.98 ERA this season. Horton has been particularly dominant in the second half of the season, posting a 0.93 ERA since the All-Star break. This is one of the better pitching matchups we have for Tuesday’s slate, and I’m confident that these guys can get us out of the first inning.

Brad Francis's Pick: See Above


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